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Precise and timely forecasting of blood glucose levels is essential for effective diabetes management. While extensive research has been conducted on Type 1 diabetes mellitus, Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) presents unique challenges due…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Yuyang Sun , Panagiotis Kosmas

Background and objective: Diabetes is one of the four leading causes of death worldwide, necessitating daily blood glucose monitoring. While sweat offers a promising non-invasive alternative for glucose monitoring, its application remains…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Xiaoyu Yin , Elisabetta Peri , Eduard Pelssers , Jaap den Toonder , Lisa Klous , Hein Daanen , Massimo Mischi

We consider the question of 30-minute prediction of blood glucose levels measured by continuous glucose monitoring devices, using clinical data. While most studies of this nature deal with one patient at a time, we take a certain percentage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 H. N. Mhaskar , S. V. Pereverzyev , M. D. van der Walt

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

People with diabetes must carefully monitor their blood glucose levels, especially after eating. Blood glucose regulation requires a proper combination of food intake and insulin boluses. Glucose prediction is vital to avoid dangerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Daniel Parra , David Joedicke , J. Manuel Velasco , Gabriel Kronberger , J. Ignacio Hidalgo

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

We develop a new model of insulin-glucose dynamics for forecasting blood glucose in type 1 diabetics. We augment an existing biomedical model by introducing time-varying dynamics driven by a machine learning sequence model. Our model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-10 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily Fox

The contextual bandit framework is widely used to solve sequential optimization problems where the reward of each decision depends on auxiliary context variables. In settings such as medicine, business, and engineering, the decision maker…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-17 Kevin Li , Eric Laber

Clinical time-series forecasting is increasingly studied for decision support, yet standard aggregate metrics can obscure whether a model is actually useful for the task it is meant to serve. In safety-critical settings, low average error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Alireza Namazi , Heman Shakeri

Big spatio-temporal datasets, available through both open and administrative data sources, offer significant potential for social science research. The magnitude of the data allows for increased resolution and analysis at individual level.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-27 Anastasia Ushakova , Slava J. Mikhaylov

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

The mathematical modelling of biological systems has historically followed one of two approaches: comprehensive and minimal. In comprehensive models, the involved biological pathways are modelled independently, then brought together as an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eric Ng , Jaycee Morgan Kaufman , Lennaert van Veen , Yan Fossat

Predicting undesirable events during the execution of a business process instance provides the process participants with an opportunity to intervene and keep the process aligned with its goals. Few approaches for tackling this challenge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Jens Brunk , Matthias Stierle , Leon Papke , Kate Revoredo , Martin Matzner , Jörg Becker

This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Continuous Blood Glucose (CGM) monitors have revolutionized the ability of diabetics to manage their blood glucose, and paved the way for artificial pancreas systems. In this paper we augment CGM data with sensor input collected by a smart…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Sam Royston

The Glycemic Index (GI) is a tool for classifying carbohydrates based on their impact on postprandial glycemia, useful for diabetes prevention and management. This study applies a mathematical model for a data driven simulation of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Fabio Credali , Maria Teresa Venuti , Daniele Boffi , Paola Rossi

Medical experts may use Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems with greater trust if these are supported by contextual explanations that let the practitioner connect system inferences to their context of use. However, their importance in…

Healthcare professionals need effective ways to use, understand, and validate AI-driven clinical decision support systems. Existing systems face two key limitations: complex visualizations and a lack of grounding in scientific evidence. We…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Reza Samimi , Aditya Bhattacharya , Lucija Gosak , Gregor Stiglic , Katrien Verbert

The problem of missing values in multivariable time series is a key challenge in many applications such as clinical data mining. Although many imputation methods show their effectiveness in many applications, few of them are designed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Ye Xue , Diego Klabjan , Yuan Luo

This work proposes a smartphone video-based approach for the estimation of blood glucose in a non-invasive way. Videos using smartphone camera are collected from the tip of the subjects finger and the frames are subsequently converted into…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-02 Tauseef Tasin Chowdhury , Tahmin Mishma , Md. Saeem Osman , Tanzilur Rahman