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Predicting potential credit default accounts in advance is challenging. Traditional statistical techniques typically cannot handle large amounts of data and the dynamic nature of fraud and humans. To tackle this problem, recent research has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Sheikh Rabiul Islam , William Eberle , Sheikh Khaled Ghafoor

Hidden Markov Chains (HMCs) are commonly used mathematical models of probabilistic systems. They are employed in various fields such as speech recognition, signal processing, and biological sequence analysis. We consider the problem of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-10 Stefan Kiefer , A. Prasad Sistla

Machine learning models underpin many modern financial systems for use cases such as fraud detection and churn prediction. Most are based on supervised learning with hand-engineered features, which relies heavily on the availability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Piotr Skalski , David Sutton , Stuart Burrell , Iker Perez , Jason Wong

E-commerce platforms and payment solution providers face increasingly sophisticated fraud schemes, ranging from identity theft and account takeovers to complex money laundering operations that exploit the speed and anonymity of digital…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Cooper Lin , Yanting Zhang , Maohao Ran , Wei Xue , Hongwei Fan , Yibo Xu , Zhenglin Wan , Sirui Han , Yike Guo , Jun Song

With the exponential increase in video content, the need for accurate deception detection in human-centric video analysis has become paramount. This research focuses on the extraction and combination of various features to enhance the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Mohamed Bahaa , Mena Hany , Ehab E. Zakaria

In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Swapna Vemparala , Fabio Di Troia , Corrado A. Visaggio , Thomas H. Austin , Mark Stamp

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish

Effective control of credit risk is a key link in the steady operation of commercial banks. This paper is mainly based on the customer information dataset of a foreign commercial bank in Kaggle, and we use LightGBM algorithm to build a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Yanjie Sun , Zhike Gong , Quan Shi , Lin Chen

The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

Credit card fraud detection (CCFD) is a critical application of Machine Learning (ML) in the financial sector, where accurately identifying fraudulent transactions is essential for mitigating financial losses. ML models have demonstrated…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Jan Lum Fok , Qingwen Zeng , Shiping Chen , Oscar Fawkes , Huaming Chen

We present a lightweight approach to sequence classification using Ensemble Methods for Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). HMMs offer significant advantages in scenarios with imbalanced or smaller datasets due to their simplicity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan , Srijan Sood , Soham Palande , Ganapathy Mani , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Automated fault localization is an important issue in model validation and verification. It helps the end users in analyzing the origin of failure. In this work, we show the early experiments with probabilistic analysis approaches in fault…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Ning Ge , Marc Pantel , Xavier Crégut

On electronic game platforms, different payment transactions have different levels of risk. Risk is generally higher for digital goods in e-commerce. However, it differs based on product and its popularity, the offer type (packaged game,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Bokai Cao , Mia Mao , Siim Viidu , Philip S. Yu

Credit default poses significant challenges to financial institutions and consumers, resulting in substantial financial losses and diminished trust. As such, credit default risk management has been a critical topic in the financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuanhong Wu , Jingyan Xu , Wei Ye , Christina Schweikert , D. Frank Hsu

Credit card fraud is a major cause of national concern in the Nigerian financial sector, affecting hundreds of transactions per second and impacting international ecommerce negatively. Despite the rapid spread and adoption of online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Jennifer Onyeama

The increasing complexity and volume of financial transactions pose significant challenges to traditional fraud detection systems. This technical report investigates and compares the efficacy of classical, quantum, and quantum-hybrid…

Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and conditional random fields (CRFs) are two popular techniques for modeling sequential data. Inference algorithms designed over CRFs and HMMs allow estimation of the state sequence given the observations. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Gungor Polatkan , Oncel Tuzel

With online payment platforms being ubiquitous and important, fraud transaction detection has become the key for such platforms, to ensure user account safety and platform security. In this work, we present a novel method for detecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Longfei Li , Ziqi Liu , Chaochao Chen , Ya-Lin Zhang , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li