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Predicting click and conversion probabilities when bidding on ad exchanges is at the core of the programmatic advertising industry. Two separated lines of previous works respectively address i) the prediction of user conversion probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Eustache Diemert , Julien Meynet , Pierre Galland , Damien Lefortier

Industrial recommender systems are frequently tasked with approximating probabilities for multiple, often closely related, user actions. For example, predicting if a user will click on an advertisement and if they will then purchase the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Conor O'Brien , Kin Sum Liu , James Neufeld , Rafael Barreto , Jonathan J Hunt

Online advertising has typically been more personalized than offline advertising, through the use of machine learning models and real-time auctions for ad targeting. One specific task, predicting the likelihood of conversion (i.e.\ the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Conor O'Brien , Arvind Thiagarajan , Sourav Das , Rafael Barreto , Chetan Verma , Tim Hsu , James Neufield , Jonathan J Hunt

Understanding the structure and evolution of web-based user-object bipartite networks is an important task since they play a fundamental role in online information filtering. In this paper, we focus on investigating the patterns of online…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-28 Cheng-Jun Zhang , An Zeng

This paper studies the relation between activity on Twitter and sales. While research exists into the relation between Tweets and movie and book sales, this paper shows that the same relations do not hold for products that receive less…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Remco Dijkman , Panagiotis Ipeirotis , Freek Aertsen , Roy van Helden

The rapid advances in e-commerce and Web 2.0 technologies have greatly increased the impact of commercial advertisements on the general public. As a key enabling technology, a multitude of recommender systems exists which analyzes user…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Nikhita Vedula , Wei Sun , Hyunhwan Lee , Harsh Gupta , Mitsunori Ogihara , Joseph Johnson , Gang Ren , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

The identification of strategic business partnerships can potentially provide competitive advantages for businesses; however, due to the dynamics and uncertainty present in business environments, this task could be challenging. To help…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Diego P. Tsutsumi , Amanda Fenerich , Thiago H. Silva

The usage of recommendation agents (RAs) in the online marketplace can help consumers to locate their desired products. RAs can help consumers effectively obtain comprehensive product information and compare their candidate target products.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Hui Zhu , Zherui Yang , Carol Xj Ou , Hongwei Liu , Robert M Davison

Online marketplaces will be transformed by autonomous AI agents acting on behalf of consumers. Rather than humans browsing and clicking, AI agents can parse webpages or leverage APIs to view, evaluate and choose products. We investigate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Amine Allouah , Omar Besbes , Josué D Figueroa , Yash Kanoria , Akshit Kumar

In many contexts it is useful to predict the number of individuals in some population who will initiate a particular activity during a given period. For example, the number of users who will install a software update, the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Thomas Richardson , Yu Liu , James McQueen , Doug Hains

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in online advertising to recommend products that users are likely to be interested in. To identify the best-performing models, rigorous model evaluation is necessary. Offline…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Ramazan Tarik Turksoy , Beyza Turkmen

The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Abdollah Safari , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

Alternative recommender systems are critical for ecommerce companies. They guide customers to explore a massive product catalog and assist customers to find the right products among an overwhelming number of options. However, it is a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-16 Mingming Guo , Nian Yan , Xiquan Cui , San He Wu , Unaiza Ahsan , Rebecca West , Khalifeh Al Jadda

Multi-behavior recommendation systems enhance effectiveness by leveraging auxiliary behaviors (such as page views and favorites) to address the limitations of traditional models that depend solely on sparse target behaviors like purchases.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Haojie Li , Zhiyong Cheng , Xu Yu , Jinhuan Liu , Guanfeng Liu , Junwei Du

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

Modern collaborative filtering algorithms seek to provide personalized product recommendations by uncovering patterns in consumer-product interactions. However, these interactions can be biased by how the product is marketed, for example…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Mengting Wan , Jianmo Ni , Rishabh Misra , Julian McAuley

The goal of visual analytics is to create a symbiosis between human and computer by leveraging their unique strengths. While this model has demonstrated immense success, we are yet to realize the full potential of such a human-computer…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Ran Wan , Roman Garnett , Alvitta Ottley

Customers are usually exposed to online digital advertisement channels, such as email marketing, display advertising, paid search engine marketing, along their way to purchase or subscribe products( aka. conversion). The marketers track all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Ning li , Sai Kumar Arava , Chen Dong , Zhenyu Yan , Abhishek Pani

Category recommendation for users on an e-Commerce platform is an important task as it dictates the flow of traffic through the website. It is therefore important to surface precise and diverse category recommendations to aid the users'…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Ramasubramanian Balasubramanian , Venugopal Mani , Abhinav Mathur , Sushant Kumar , Kannan Achan