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Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

We introduce a new class of algorithms, Stochastic Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM), for estimation and inference on (overidentified) moment restriction models. Our SGMM is a novel stochastic approximation alternative to the popular…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Xiaohong Chen , Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin , Myunghyun Song

This work is concerned with the stability properties of linear stochastic differential equations with random (drift and diffusion) coefficient matrices, and the stability of a corresponding random transition matrix (or exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

We consider homoclinic solutions for Hamiltonian systems in symplectic Hilbert spaces and generalise spectral flow formulas that were proved by Pejsachowicz and the author in finite dimensions some years ago. Roughly speaking, our main…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-07 Nils Waterstraat

We present analytical expressions for the time-dependent and stationary probability distributions corresponding to a stochastically perturbed one-dimensional flow with critical points, in two physically relevant situations: delayed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Balakrishnan , C. Van den Broeck , I. Bena

In this paper we study the hydrostatic limit of the Navier-Stokes-alpha model in a very thin striped domain. We derive some Prandtl-type limit equations for this model and we prove the global well-posedness of the limit system for small…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Léo Glangetas , Van-Sang Ngo , El Mehdi Said

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

We prove a scaling limit theorem for discrete Galton-Watson processes in varying environments. A simple sufficient condition for the weak convergence in the Skorokhod space is given in terms of probability generating functions. The limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Fang Rongjuan , Li Zenghu , Liu Jiawei

In the present paper, we study the evolution of an overloaded cyclic polling model that starts empty. Exploiting a connection with multitype branching processes, we derive fluid asymptotics for the joint queue length process. Under passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Maria Frolkova , Sergey Foss , Bert Zwart

Marginal models involve restrictions on the conditional and marginal association structure of a set of categorical variables. They generalize log-linear models for contingency tables, which are the fundamental tools for modelling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Tamas Rudas , Wicher Bergsma

We study distribution testing in the standard access model and the conditional access model when the memory available to the testing algorithm is bounded. In both scenarios, the samples appear in an online fashion and the goal is to test…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Sampriti Roy , Yadu Vasudev

In this paper we look at the properties of limits of a sequence of real valued time inhomogeneous diffusions. When convergence is only in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions then the limit does not have to be a diffusion. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-14 George Lowther

Conditions sufficient for the transience of the process have been established for the Markov diffusion model with switching and two modes, transient and ergodic, with intensities bounded away from zero. This paper shows limitations on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Kirill Mosievich

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

In ref. cond-mat/0005372, Sastry studies by numerical simulations the phase diagram of a simple fragile glass-forming liquid, presenting very interesting and clear results. We apply to this system, at various density values, the analytic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Barbara Coluzzi , Giorgio Parisi , Paolo Verrocchio

We prove a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the non-commutative setting of random matrix products where the underlying process is driven by a subshift of finite type (SFT) with Markov measure. We use the martingale method introduced by Y.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Alex Furman , Robert Thijs Kozma

Survival analysis, or time-to-event modelling, is a classical statistical problem that has garnered a lot of interest for its practical use in epidemiology, demographics or actuarial sciences. Recent advances on the subject from the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Guillaume Ausset , Tom Ciffreo , Francois Portier , Stephan Clémençon , Timothée Papin

Given an unconditional diffusion model targeting a joint model $\pi(x, y)$, using it to perform conditional simulation $\pi(x \mid y)$ is still largely an open question and is typically achieved by learning conditional drifts to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Adrien Corenflos , Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön

Continuous diffusion and flow matching models could represent a powerful alternative to autoregressive approaches for language modelling (LM), as they unlock a host of advantages currently reserved for continuous modalities, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Oscar Davis , Anastasiia Filippova , Pierre Ablin , Victor Turrisi , Amitis Shidani , Marco Cuturi , Louis Béthune