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Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been an ubiquitous, and controversial, part of macroeconomics for decades. In this paper, we approach DSGEs purely as statstical models. We do this by applying two common model…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-02 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are nowadays a crucial quantitative tool for policy-makers. However, they did not emerge spontaneously. They are built upon previously established ideas in Economics and relatively recent…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Genaro Martín Damiani

By generalizing the measurements on the game experiments of mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, we study the dynamical pattern in a representative dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE). The DSGE model describes the entanglements of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-10-31 Zhijian Wang , Bin Xu

This paper shows that diagnostic expectations (DE) and rational expectations (RE) are not observationally equivalent in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Using the frequency-domain framework of Qu and Tkachenko (2012,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Jinting Guo

This study proposes an approach based on a perturbation technique to construct global solutions to dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models (DSGE). The main idea is to expand a solution in a series of powers of a small parameter…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Viktors Ajevskis

In economics, construction of perfect models in a way that would be comparable to the standards customary in physical sciences is generally not feasible. In particular, the observed value for an economic equilibrium may deviate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Esa Nummelin , Elja Arjas

The aim of this article is to present elements and discuss the potential of a research program at the intersection between mathematics and heterodox economics, which we call Criticial Mathematical Economics (CME). We propose to focus on the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Johannes Buchner

General equilibrium is the dominant theoretical framework for economic policy analysis at the level of the whole economy. In practice, general equilibrium treats economies as being always in equilibrium, albeit in a sequence of equilibria…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-11 Eric Kemp-Benedict

Economics has long been a science of static equilibria, in which time is a second-order rather than first-order concern. Without time, economic modelers may neglect or obscure the role of time-dependent phenomena, e.g. path-dependency, and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-29 Sarang Shah

Macroeconomic theories of growth and wealth distribution have an outsized influence on national and international social and economic policies. Yet, due to a relative lack of reliable, system wide data, many such theories remain, at best,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Eamon Duede , Victor Zhorin

A statistical generalization is made of microeconomics in the spirit of going from classical to statistical mechanics. The price and quantity of every commodity1 traded in the market, at each instant of time, is considered to be an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-03 Belal E. Baaquie

Traditional models of macroeconomic dynamics are fundamentally incorrect. The reason lies in a misunderstanding of peculiarities of the analysis of infinitesimal quantities. However, even those types of solutions that are envisaged by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 S. I. Chernyshov , V. S. Ponomarenko , A. V. Voronin

There are three levels of description in classical statistical mechanics, the microscopic/dynamic, the macroscopic/statistical and the thermodynamic. At one end there is a well-used concept of equilibrium in thermodynamics and at the other…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. A. Lavis

An axiomatic approach to macroeconomics based on the mathematical structure of thermodynamics is presented. It deduces relations between aggregate properties of an economy, concerning quantities and flows of goods and money, prices and the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-18 N. J. Chater , R. S. MacKay

The Standard Model of cosmology of the 1980's was based on a remarkable interplay of ideas from particle theory, experiment and astrophysical observations. That model is now dead, and has been replaced by something far more bizarre.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Lawrence M. Krauss

This paper outlines a critical gap in the assessment methodology used to estimate the macroeconomic costs and benefits of climate policy. It shows that the vast majority of models used for assessing climate policy use assumptions about the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-09 H. Pollitt , J. -F. Mercure

We present a macroeconomic agent-based model that combines several mechanisms operating at the same timescale, while remaining mathematically tractable. It comprises enterprises and workers who compete in a job market and a commodity goods…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-26 Cornelia Metzig , Mirta Gordon

This paper presents a conceptual model describing the medium and long-term co-evolution of natural and socio-economic subsystems of Earth. An economy is viewed as an out-of-equilibrium dissipative structure that can only be maintained with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-09 Éric Herbert , and Gael Giraud , Aurélie Louis-Napoléon , Christophe Goupil

We describe the innovations in finances, introduced over the recent decades, and analyze most of the business and regulatory challenges, faced by the financial industry, because of the present disruptive changes in the global capital…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-09 Dimitri O. Ledenyov , Viktor O. Ledenyov

Under some initial conditions, it is shown that time consistency requirements prevent rational expectation equilibrium (REE) existence for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models induced by consumer heterogeneity, in contrast to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-19 Minseong Kim
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