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Platform giants in China have operated with persistently compressed margins in highly concentrated markets for much of the past decade, despite market shares exceeding 60\% in core segments. Standard theory predicts otherwise: either the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-23 Liang Chen

We investigate a multi-household DSGE model in which past aggregate consumption impacts the confidence, and therefore consumption propensity, of individual households. We find that such a minimal setup is extremely rich, and leads to a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-19 Federico Guglielmo Morelli , Michael Benzaquen , Marco Tarzia , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper, we test predictions of a new theory of macroeconomics, called "thermal macroeconomics." The theory aims to apply the mathematical structure of classical thermodynamics, including analogues of temperature and entropy, to…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Yihang Luo , R. S. MacKay , Nick Chater

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-27 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

Through this paper, an attempt has been made to quantify the underlying relationships between the leading macroeconomic indicators. More clearly, an effort has been made in this paper to assess the cointegrating relationships and examine…

General Economics · Economics 2019-07-11 Saannidhya Rawat

Macroevolutionary dynamics often display sudden, explosive surges, where systems remain relatively stable for extended periods before experiencing dramatic acceleration that frequently exceeds traditional exponential growth. This pattern is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-23 Alessandro Bellina , Giordano De Marzo , Vittorio Loreto

In this paper, a mathematically rigorous solution overturns existing wisdom regarding New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium. I develop a formal concept of stochastic equilibrium. I prove uniqueness and necessity, when agents…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-04 David Staines

Linear stochastic models and discretized kinetic theory are two complementary analytical techniques used for the investigation of complex systems of economic interactions. The former employ Langevin equations, with an emphasis on stock…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-10 M. L. Bertotti , A. K. Chattopadhyay , G. Modanese

In this article we will show that the Macro-Economy and its growth can be modelled and explained exactly in principle by commonly known Field Theory from theoretical physics. We will show the main concepts and calculations needed and show…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-24 Heribert Genreith

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

We propose a stochastic map model of economic dynamics. In the last decade, an array of observations in economics has been investigated in the econophysics literature, a major example being the universal features of inequality in terms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

Is the typical specification of the Euler equation for investment employed in DSGE models consistent with aggregate macro data? Using state-of-the-art econometric methods that are robust to weak instruments and exploit information in…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-04 Guido Ascari , Qazi Haque , Leandro M. Magnusson , Sophocles Mavroeidis

Hysteresis is treated as a history dependent branching, and the use of the classical Preisach model for the analysis of macroeconomic hysteresis is first discussed. Then, a new Preisach-type model is introduced as a macroeconomic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-11-01 Isaak D. Mayergoyz , Can E. Korman

Traditional macroeconomic models, based on static algebraic systems, fail to capture the dynamics of a bimonetary economy like Argentina's. This paper proposes a framework based on category theory to develop a more flexible and structured…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-20 Luciano Pollicino

Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-17 Zhiwu Zheng

Economic growth in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, countries of the former USSR, Africa and Latin America were analysed. It is demonstrated that the fundamental postulate of the Unified Growth Theory about the existence of the three…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-28 Ron W Nielsen

A general information equilibrium model in the case of ideal information transfer is defined and then used to derive the relationship between supply (information destination) and demand (information source) with the price as the detector of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-09 Jason Smith

Standard macroeconomic models assume that households are rational in the sense that they are perfect utility maximizers, and explain economic dynamics in terms of shocks that drive the economy away from the stead-state. Here we build on a…

General Economics · Economics 2019-07-05 Yuki M. Asano , Jakob J. Kolb , Jobst Heitzig , J. Doyne Farmer

The importance of unspanned macroeconomic variables for Dynamic Term Structure Models has been intensively discussed in the literature. To our best knowledge the earlier studies considered only linear interactions between the economy and…