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We develop a flexible spline-based Bayesian hidden Markov model stochastic weather generator to statistically model daily precipitation over time by season at individual locations. The model naturally accounts for missing data (considered…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Christopher J. Paciorek

Gersho's conjecture in 3D asserts the asymptotic periodicity and structure of the optimal centroidal Voronoi tessellation. This relatively simple crystallization problem remains to date open. We prove bounds on the geometric complexity of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Rustum Choksi , Xin Yang Lu

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Adaptive binning is a crucial step in the analysis of large astronomical datasets, such as those from integral-field spectroscopy, to ensure a sufficient signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) for reliable model fitting. However, the widely used…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-12 Michele Cappellari

A new model is presented for multisite statistical downscaling of temperature and precipitation using convolutional conditional neural processes (convCNPs). ConvCNPs are a recently developed class of models that allow deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Anna Vaughan , Will Tebbutt , J. Scott Hosking , Richard E. Turner

An algorithm to estimate motion from satellite imagery is presented. Dense displacement fields are computed from time-separated images of of significant convective activity using a Bayesian formulation of the motion estimation problem.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sai Ravela , Virat Chatdarong

This paper introduces the Heteroscedastic AddiVortes model, a Bayesian non-parametric regression framework that simultaneously models the conditional mean and variance of a response variable using adaptive Voronoi tessellations. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Adam J. Stone , John Paul Gosling

Optimal operation of distribution grid resources relies on accurate estimation of its state and topology. Practical estimation of such quantities is complicated by the limited presence of real-time meters. This paper discusses a theoretical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus

We formulate seasonal rainfall prediction as a reduced-order nonlinear forecasting problem, embedding coupled Indian-Pacific Ocean variability into a low-dimensional state space and projecting it forward using deep neural networks.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Stjepan Marcelja

The ability to analyze and forecast stratospheric weather conditions is fundamental to addressing climate change. However, our capacity to collect data in the stratosphere is limited by sparsely deployed weather balloons. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Kiwan Maeng , Iskender Kushan , Brandon Lucia , Ashish Kapoor

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Quentin Bonassies , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque , Kevin Marlis , Cédric David

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

Modelling of precipitation, including extremes, is important for hydrological and agricultural applications. Traditionally, because of large sample properties for data over a large threshold value, generalised Pareto (GP) distributions are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-11 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic , K. Shuvo Bakar

Optical satellite image time series are extensively used in many Earth observation applications, including agriculture, climate monitoring, and land surface analysis. However, clouds and swath edges result in irregular sampling along the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Véronique Defonte , Dawa Derksen , Alexandre Constantin , Bastien Nespoulous

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Coastally associated rainfall is a common feature especially in tropical and subtropical regions. However, it has been difficult to quantify the contribution of coastal rainfall features to the overall local rainfall. We develop a novel…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-16 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

In this paper a generalization of the Voronoi partition is used for optimal deployment of autonomous agents carrying sensors with heterogeneous capabilities, to maximize the sensor coverage. The generalized centroidal Voronoi configuration,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 K. R. Guruprasad , Debasish Ghose

Spherical centroidal Voronoi tessellations (SCVTs), currently used in numerical weather forecasting models such as the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS), are a type of spherical grid that is highly flexible, allowing the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-09 Luan F. Santos , Jeferson B. Granjeiro , Pedro S. Peixoto

Centroidal Voronoi tessellation (CVT)-based mesh generation is a very effective technique for creating high-quality Voronoi meshes and their dual Delaunay triangulations that often play a crucial role in applications, including ocean and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Huanhuan Yang , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju