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Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Grotto , Andrea Papini , Cristiano Ricci

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

We propose a framework for Bayesian non-parametric estimation of the rate at which new infections occur assuming that the epidemic is partially observed. The developed methodology relies on modelling the rate at which new infections occur…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-16 Edward S. Knock , Theodore Kypraios

Malware detection have used machine learning to detect malware in programs. These applications take in raw or processed binary data to neural network models to classify as benign or malicious files. Even though this approach has proven…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Xiruo Wang , Risto Miikkulainen

Studies on the propagation of malware in mobile networks have revealed that the spread of malware can be highly inhomogeneous. Platform diversity, contact list utilization by the malware, clustering in the network structure, etc. can also…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Soheil Eshghi , MHR. Khouzani , Saswati Sarkar , Santosh S. Venkatesh

Spam is commonly known as unsolicited or unwanted email messages in the Internet causing potential threat to Internet Security. Users spend a valuable amount of time deleting spam emails. More importantly, ever increasing spam emails occupy…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-08-26 Md. Saiful Islam , Abdullah Al Mahmud , Md. Rafiqul Islam

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

We introduce a new method to efficiently approximate the number of infections resulting from a given initially-infected node in a network of susceptible individuals. Our approach is based on counting the number of possible infection walks…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-25 Frank Bauer , Joseph T. Lizier

The network virus propagation is influenced by various factors, and some of them are neglected in most of the existed models in the literature. In this paper, we study the network virus propagation based on the the epidemiological…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Iyed Khammassi , Rachid Elazouzi , Majed Haddad , Issam Mabrouki

We study the problem of estimating the parameters (i.e., infection rate and recovery rate) governing the spread of epidemics in networks. Such parameters are typically estimated by measuring various characteristics (such as the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-12 Lintao Ye , Philip E. Paré , Shreyas Sundaram

Cybercrime is one of the major digital threats of this century. In particular, ransomware attacks have significantly increased, resulting in global damage costs of tens of billion dollars. In this paper, we train and test different Machine…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Benjamin Marais , Tony Quertier , Stéphane Morucci

We study the susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each of their susceptible neighbours, and recover, at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge

This paper presents an experimental design and data analytics approach aimed at power-based malware detection on general-purpose computers. Leveraging the fact that malware executions must consume power, we explore the postulate that…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Robert Bridges , Jarilyn Hernandez Jimenez , Jeffrey Nichols , Katerina Goseva-Popstojanova , Stacy Prowell

Model stealing attacks have been successfully used in many machine learning domains, but there is little understanding of how these attacks work against models that perform malware detection. Malware detection and, in general, security…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Maria Rigaki , Sebastian Garcia

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

Artificial intelligence methods have often been applied to perform specific functions or tasks in the cyber-defense realm. However, as adversary methods become more complex and difficult to divine, piecemeal efforts to understand…

Ransomware is considered as a significant threat for most enterprises since the past few years. In scenarios wherein users can access all files on a shared server, one infected host can lock the access to all shared files. We propose a tool…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Eduardo Berrueta , Daniel Morato , Eduardo Magaña , Mikel Izal

Transmission rates in epidemic outbreaks may vary over time depending on the societal response. Non-pharmacological mitigation strategies such as social distancing and the adoption of protective equipment aim precisely at reducing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-24 Elisa Franco

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ and establish the final size relation. It…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-04 Fan Bai
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