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We study a stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson point process, which models continuous changes in a population's environment, as well as the stochastic fixation of beneficial mutations that might compensate for this change.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Elma Nassar , Etienne Pardoux

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

Neutral dynamics, where taxa are assumed to be demographically equivalent and their abundance is governed solely by the stochasticity of the underlying birth-death process, has proved itself as an important minimal model that accounts for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-09 David Kessler , Samir Suweis , Marco Formentin , Nadav M. Shnerb

Effects of externally imposed periodic changes in the environment on population dynamics are studied with the help of a simple model. The environmental changes are represented by the temporal and spatial dependence of the competition terms…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Ballard , V. M. Kenkre , M. N. Kuperman

Understanding the causes and effects of spatial aggregation is one of the most fundamental problems in ecology. Aggregation is an emergent phenomenon arising from the interactions between the individuals of the population, able to sense…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Juan A. Bonachela , Miguel A. Munoz , Simon A. Levin

We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-28 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-16 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

Ecosystems tend to fluctuate around stable equilibria in response to internal dynamics and environmental factors. Occasionally, they enter an unstable tipping region and collapse into an alternative stable state. Our understanding of how…

Many models of population dynamics are formulated as deterministic iterated maps although real populations are stochastic. This is justifiable in the limit of large population sizes, as the stochastic fluctuations are negligible then.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Snehal M. Shekatkar

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

An ecological system with multiple stable equilibria is prone to undergo catastrophic change or regime shift from one steady-state to another. It should be noted that, if one of the steady states is an extinction state, the catastrophic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-18 Anurag Sau , Sabyasachi Bhattacharya , Bapi Saha

Biological populations are subject to two types of noise: demographic stochasticity due to fluctuations in the reproductive success of individuals, and environmental variations that affect coherently the relative fitness of entire…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-04 Matan Danino , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

We are concerned with a nonlinear nonautonomous model represented by an equation describing the dynamics of an age-structured population diffusing in a space habitat $O,$ governed by local Lipschitz vital factors and by a stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Gabriela Marinoschi

Deterministic evolutionary theory robustly predicts that populations displaying altruistic behaviours will be driven to extinction by mutant cheats that absorb common benefits but do not themselves contribute. Here we show that when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-03 George W. A. Constable , Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Corina E. Tarnita

Many real-world optimization problems occur in environments that change dynamically or involve stochastic components. Evolutionary algorithms and other bio-inspired algorithms have been widely applied to dynamic and stochastic problems.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-30 Vahid Roostapour , Mojgan Pourhassan , Frank Neumann

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter

We introduce and analyse an individual-based evolutionary model, in which a population of genetically diverse organisms compete with each other for limited resources. Through theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations, we show that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-02 Tim Rogers , Alan J. McKane , Axel G. Rossberg

A new stochastic control problem of population dynamics under partial observation is formulated and analyzed both mathematically and numerically, with an emphasis on environmental and ecological problems. The decision-maker can only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Yuta Yaegashi , Motoh Tsujimura

In exponential population growth, variability in the timing of individual division events and environmental factors (including stochastic inoculation) compound to produce variable growth trajectories. In several stochastic models of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-25 Eric W. Jones , Joshua Derrick , Roger M. Nisbet , Will Ludington , David A. Sivak