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We introduce and analyze coupled, multi-strain epidemic models designed to simulate the emergence and dissemination of mutant (e.g. drug-resistant) pathogen strains. In particular, we investigate the mathematical and biological properties…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-10 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , James M. Trauer , Emma S. McBryde

Many infectious diseases are comprised of multiple strains with examples including Influenza, tuberculosis, and Dengue virus. The time evolution of such systems is linked to a complex landscape shaped by interactions between competing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Nir Gavish , Musa Rabiu

We extend a recent investigation by Meehan et al. (2019) regarding the global stability properties of the general Kermack-McKendrick (renewal) model to the multi-strain case. We demonstrate that the basic reproduction number of each strain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , Emma S. McBryde

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

To investigate the combined effects of drug resistance, seasonality and vector-bias, we formulate a periodic two-strain reaction-diffusion model. It is a competitive system for resistant and sensitive strains, but the single-strain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Huijie Chu , Zhenguo Bai

Starting from common assumptions, we build a rate equation model for multi-strain disease dynamics in terms of immune repertoire classes. We then move to a strain-level description where a low-order closure reminiscent of a pair…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-09 Tomás Aquino , Diogo Bolster , Ana Nunes

We consider an epidemiological SIR model with an infection rate depending on the recovered population. We establish sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability (local and global) of endemic equilibria and consider also…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Andres David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

In this paper we continue the stability analysis of the model for coinfection with density dependent susceptible population introduced in the 1st part of the paper. We look for coexistence equilibrium points, their stability and dependence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-12 J. Andersson , S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , V. Tkachev , U. Wennergren

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

In this work we study the stability properties of the equilibrium points of deterministic epidemic models with nonconstant population size. Models with nonconstant population have been studied in the past only in particular cases, two of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Gianluca Bianchin , Dan Goreac , Andrei Halanay

Infectious diseases often involve multiple strains that interact through the immune response generated after an infection. This study investigates the conditions under which a two-strain epidemic model with partial cross-immunity can lead…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-11 Nir Gavish

We consider an epidemiological model that includes waning and boosting of immunity. Assuming that repeated exposure to the pathogen fully restores immunity, we derive an SIRS-type model with discrete and distributed delays. First we prove…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Monika Polner , Gergely Röst

We introduce a two-strain model with asymmetric temporary immunity periods and partial cross-immunity. We derive explicit conditions for competitive exclusion and coexistence of the strains depending on the strain-specific basic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell , David A. Rubel

The rise of antimicrobial drug resistance is an imminent threat to global health that has warranted, and duly received, considerable attention within the medical, microbiological and modelling communities. Outbreaks of drug-resistant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-12 Michael T. Meehan , Robert C. Cope , Emma S. McBryde

We will study a mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the presence of combination therapy that includes within-host infectious dynamics. The deterministic model requires us to analyze asymptotic stability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-04 Majid Jaberi Douraki

In this work, we study the critical behavior of an epidemic propagation model that considers individuals that can develop drug resistance. In our lattice model, each site can be found in one of four states: empty, healthy, normally infected…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 C. R. da Silva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

Transmission dynamics of infectious diseases are often studied using compartmental mathematical models, which are commonly represented as systems of autonomous ordinary differential equations. A key step in the analysis of such models is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-15 David J. D. Earn , C. Connell McCluskey

This work examines the dynamics of solutions of a two-strain SIS epidemic model in patchy environments. The basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ is introduced, and sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the global stability of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Jonas T. Doumatè , Tahir B. Issa , Rachidi B. Salako

Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Peng-Bi Cui , Lei Gao , Wei Wang

This paper examines an epidemic patch model with mass-action transmission mechanism and asymmetric connectivity matrix. Results on the global dynamics of solutions and the spatial structures of endemic solutions are obtained. In particular,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Rachidi Salako , Yixiang Wu
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