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The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price evolution. The curves are suitably normalized to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Piotr Kokoszka , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: $dX_t=a_tdt+\sigma_tdW_t$, where $X$ denotes the log-price and $\sigma$ is a c\`adl\`ag semi-martingale. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 A. Alvarez , F. Panloup , M. Pontier , N. Savy

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

We present an option pricing formula for European options in a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the volatility process is defined using a fractional integral of a diffusion process and both the stock price and the volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

It is known that the implied volatility skew of FX options demonstrates a stochastic behavior which is called stochastic skew. In this paper we create stochastic skew by assuming the spot/instantaneous variance correlation to be stochastic.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-20 Andrey Itkin

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

We introduce a novel stochastic volatility model where the squared volatility of the asset return follows a Jacobi process. It contains the Heston model as a limit case. We show that the joint density of any finite sequence of log returns…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović , Sergio Pulido

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

Standard quantitative models of the stock market predict a log-normal distribution for stock returns (Bachelier 1900, Osborne 1959), but it is recognised (Fama 1965) that empirical data, in comparison with a Gaussian, exhibit leptokurtosis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

In this paper we apply Markovian approximation of the fractional Brownian motion (BM), known as the Dobric-Ojeda (DO) process, to the fractional stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous variance is modelled by a lognormal process…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-22 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin

Working on different aspects of algorithmic trading we empirically discovered a new market invariant. It links together the volatility of the instrument with its traded volume, the average spread and the volume in the order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-14 Oleh Danyliv , Bruce Bland

We study the problem of option replication under constant proportional transaction costs in models where stochastic volatility and jumps are combined to capture the market's important features. Assuming some mild condition on the jump size…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Thai Huu Nguyen , Serguei Pergamenschchikov

The drift burst hypothesis postulates the existence of short-lived locally explosive trends in the price paths of financial assets. The recent U.S. equity and treasury flash crashes can be viewed as two high-profile manifestations of such…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Roberto Renò

We study the pricing problem for a European call option when the volatility of the underlying asset is random and follows the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. The random diffusion model proposed is a two-dimensional market process that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Ronnie Sircar , Jaume Masoliver
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