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Earnings calls are hosted by management of public companies to discuss the company's financial performance with analysts and investors. Information disclosed during an earnings call is an essential source of data for analysts and investors…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-04 Zhiqiang Ma , Grace Bang , Chong Wang , Xiaomo Liu

We construct continuous-time equilibrium models based on a finite number of exponential utility investors. The investors' income rates as well as the stock's dividend rate are governed by discontinuous Levy processes. Our main result…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Kasper Larsen , Tanawit Sae Sue

We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

This paper uses deep learning to value derivatives. The approach is broadly applicable, and we use a call option on a basket of stocks as an example. We show that the deep learning model is accurate and very fast, capable of producing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-19 Ryan Ferguson , Andrew Green

In the present work we introduce a stochastic cellular automata model in order to simulate the dynamics of the stock market. A direct percolation method is used to create a hierarchy of clusters of active traders on a two dimensional grid.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Bartolozzi , A. W. Thomas

We use a continuous version of the standard deviation premium principle for pricing in incomplete equity markets by assuming that the investor issuing an unhedgeable derivative security requires compensation for this risk in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-14 Erdinç Akyıldırım , Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

Based on a point of view that solvency and security are first, this paper considers regular-singular stochastic optimal control problem of a large insurance company facing positive transaction cost asked by reinsurer under solvency…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-22 Zongxia Liang , Jicheng Yao

We analyze the optimal dividend payment problem in the dual model under constant transaction costs. We show, for a general spectrally positive L\'{e}vy process, an optimal strategy is given by a $(c_1,c_2)$-policy that brings the surplus…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Andreas Kyprianou , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 N. Vvedenskaya , Y. Suhov , V. Belitsky

In order to simulate the complex phenomena manifested in stock markets, we introduce a continuous asynchronous model in which millions of individual traders interact through a central orders matching mechanism, just as it happens in real…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Shatner , L. Muchnik , M. Leshno , S. Solomon

We present a finite-dimensional version of the quantum model for the stock market proposed in [C. Zhang and L. Huang, A quantum model for the stock market, Physica A 389(2010) 5769]. Our approach is an attempt to make this model consistent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-09 Liviu-Adrian Cotfas

Stochastic volatility (SV) models mimic many of the stylized facts attributed to time series of asset returns, while maintaining conceptual simplicity. The commonly made assumption of conditionally normally distributed or…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Théo Michelot , Alexander Sohn , Thomas Kneib

The paper presents a step forward into the development of the theory of meaning. Stock and financial markets are examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. This study focuses on the link…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Inga Ivanova

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura