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The theocratical properties of the power of the conventional testing hypotheses and the selection bias are usually unknown under covariate-adaptive randomized clinical trials. In the literature, most studies are based on simulations. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Li-Xin Zhang

Contemporary scientific research is a distributed, collaborative endeavor, carried out by teams of researchers, regulatory institutions, funding agencies, commercial partners, and scientific bodies, all interacting with each other and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stephen Bates , Michael I. Jordan , Michael Sklar , Jake A. Soloff

Foundation model reliability assessment typically requires thousands of evaluation examples, making it computationally expensive and time-consuming for real-world deployment. We introduce microprobe, a novel approach that achieves…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Aayam Bansal , Ishaan Gangwani

This paper proposes an adaptive human pilot model that is able to mimic the crossover model in the presence of uncertainties. The proposed structure is based on the model reference adaptive control, and the adaptive laws are obtained using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-21 Seyed Shahabaldin Tohidi , Yildiray Yildiz

We consider the problem of determining feasible systems from a finite set of simulated alternatives with respect to probability constraints, where the observations from stochastic simulations are Bernoulli distributed. Most statistically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Taehoon Kim , Sigrun Andradottir , Seong-Hee Kim , Yuwei Zhou

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

We report on a series of experiments concerning the feasibility of example driven modelling. The main aim was to establish experimentally within an academic environment: the relationship between error and task complexity using a)…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2008-03-10 Simon R. Thorne , David Ball , Z. Lawson

Significant treatment effects are often emphasized when interpreting and summarizing empirical findings in studies that estimate multiple, possibly many, treatment effects. Under this kind of selective reporting, conventional treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Andreas Dzemski , Ryo Okui , Wenjie Wang

Clinical trials need to recruit a sufficient number of volunteer patients to demonstrate the statistical power of the treatment (e.g., a new drug) in curing a certain disease. Clinical trial recruitment has a significant impact on trial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Ling Yue , Sixue Xing , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

Adversarial examples pose a security threat to many critical systems built on neural networks (such as face recognition systems, and self-driving cars). While many methods have been proposed to build robust models, how to build certifiably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Ruihan Zhang , Peixin Zhang , Jun Sun

We consider event-driven clinical trials, where the analysis is performed once a pre-determined number of clinical events has been reached. For example, these events could be progression in oncology or a stroke in cardiovascular trials. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Vladimir Anisimov , Stephen Gormley , Rosalind Baverstock , Cynthia Kineza

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

Adapting the final sample size of a trial to the evidence accruing during the trial is a natural way to address planning uncertainty. Designs with adaptive sample size need to account for their optional stopping to guarantee strict type-I…

Scientific feasibility assessment asks whether a claim is consistent with established knowledge and whether experimental evidence could support or refute it. We frame feasibility assessment as a diagnostic reasoning task in which, given a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Seyedali Mohammadi , Manas Gaur , Francis Ferraro

Controlled experiments are a core research method in software engineering (SE) for validating causal claims. However, recruiting a sample of participants that represents the intended target population is often difficult or expensive, which…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Julian Frattini , Richard Torkar , Robert Feldt , Carlo A. Furia

To identify statistically significant conclusions, it is proposed to simultaneously test hypotheses and alternatives. It is shown that, under the condition of free combination of hypotheses and alternatives, the closure method leads to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 P. A. Koldanov , A. P. Koldanov

Background: Well-designed phase II trials must have acceptable error rates relative to a pre-specified success criterion, usually a statistically significant p-value. Such standard designs may not always suffice from a clinical perspective…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-10 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Nicolas Scheuer , Beat Neuenschwander

Uncertainties influencing the dynamical systems pose a significant challenge in estimating the achievable performance of a controller aiming to control such uncertain systems. When the uncertainties are of stochastic nature, obtaining hard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Venkatraman Renganathan

Pragmatic randomized trials are designed to provide evidence for clinical decision-making rather than regulatory approval. Common features of these trials include the inclusion of heterogeneous or diverse patient populations in a wide range…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-20 Eleanor J. Murray , Sonja A. Swanson , Miguel A. Hernán