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For a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, consider $g_t$, the last time $X$ is below the level zero before time $t\geq 0$. We use a perturbation method for L\'evy processes to derive an It\^o formula for the three-dimensional process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

Continuous-state branching processes (CSBPs) with immigration (CBIs), stopped on hitting zero, are generalized by allowing the process governing immigration to be any L\'evy process without negative jumps. Unlike the CBIs, these newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Matija Vidmar

In this manuscript, we continue with the systematic study of the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in L\'evy environments under more general branching mechanisms. Here, we deal with the weakly subcritical regime…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

A Galton-Watson branching process with immigration evolving in a random environment is considered. Its associated random walk is assumed to be oscillating. We prove a functional limit theorem in which the process under consideration is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 V. I. Afanasyev

Birth and death Markov processes can model stochastic physical systems from percolation to disease spread and, in particular, wildfires. We introduce and analyze a birth-death-suppression Markov process as a model of controlled culling of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-10-11 George Hulsey , David L. Alderson , Jean Carlson

We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration to continuous time and continuous state branching processes with immigration.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zenghu Li

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Maria Emilia Caballero , Loïc Chaumont

Given a Gaussian process $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$, we construct a Gaussian \emph{Markov} process with the same one-dimensional marginals using sequences of transformations of $(X_t)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$ "made Markov" at finitely many…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Armand Ley

We consider a L\'evy process that starts from $x<0$ and conditioned on having a positive maximum. When Cram\'er's condition holds, we provide two weak limit theorems as $x\to -\infty$ for the law of the (two-sided) path shifted at the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-26 Matyas Barczy , Jean Bertoin

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

We study a genealogical model for continuous-state branching processes with immigration with a (sub)critical branching mechanism. This model allows the immigrants to be on the same line of descent. The corresponding family tree is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-13 Thomas Duquesne

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

In this paper, we study asymptotic behaviors of the tails of extinction time and maximal displacement of a critical branching killed L\'{e}vy process $(Z_t^{(0,\infty)})_{t\ge 0}$ in $\mathbb{R}$, in which all particles (and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Haojie Hou , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We proved the explicit formulas in Laplace transform of the hitting times for the birth and death processes on a denumerable state space with $\ift$ the exit or entrance boundary. This extends the well known Keilson's theorem from finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-08 Yu Gong , Yong-Hua Mao

We present a genealogy for superprocesses with a non-homogeneous quadratic branching mechanism, relying on a weighted version of the superprocess and a Girsanov theorem. We then decompose this genealogy with respect to the last individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Jean-Francois Delmas , Olivier Hénard

For a birth-death process subject to catastrophes, defined on the state-space $S=\{r,r+1,r+2,...\}$, with $r$ a positive integer or zero, the first-visit time to a state $k\in S$ is considered and the Laplace transform of its probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Di Crescenzo , V. Giorno , A. G. Nobile , L. M. Ricciardi

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

Consider the mutually catalytic branching process with finite branching rate $\gamma$. We show that as $\gamma\to\infty$, this process converges in finite-dimensional distributions (in time) to a certain discontinuous process. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Achim Klenke , Leonid Mytnik

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam