English

On the last zero process with an application in corporate bankruptcy

Probability 2025-06-04 v3

Abstract

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process XX, consider gtg_t, the last time XX is below the level zero before time t0t\geq 0. We use a perturbation method for L\'evy processes to derive an It\^o formula for the three-dimensional process {(gt,t,Xt),t0}\{(g_t,t, X_t), t\geq 0 \} and its infinitesimal generator. Moreover, with Ut:=tgtU_t:=t-g_t, the length of a current positive excursion, we derive a general formula that allows us to calculate a functional of the whole path of (U,X)={(Ut,Xt),t0} (U, X)=\{(U_t, X_t),t\geq 0\} in terms of the positive and negative excursions of the process XX. As a corollary, we find the joint Laplace transform of (Ueq,Xeq)(U_{\mathbf{e}_q}, X_{\mathbf{e}_q}), where eq\mathbf{e}_q is an independent exponential time, and the q-potential measure of the process (U,X)(U, X). Furthermore, using the results mentioned above, we find a solution to a general optimal stopping problem depending on (U,X)(U, X) with an application in corporate bankruptcy. Lastly, we establish a link between the optimal prediction of gg_{\infty} and optimal stopping problems in terms of (U,X)(U, X) as per Baurdoux and Pedraza (2024).

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.06871,
  title  = {On the last zero process with an application in corporate bankruptcy},
  author = {Erik J. Baurdoux and J. M. Pedraza},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.06871},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T14:15:20.393Z