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Related papers: Collective marks and first passage times

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Applications of first passage times in stochastic processes arise across a wide range of length and time scales in biological settings. After an initial technical overview, we survey representative applications and their corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 Tom Chou , Maria R. D'Orsogna

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We consider irreversible Markov chains on finite commutative rings randomly generated using both addition and multiplication. We restrict ourselves to the case where the addition is uniformly random and multiplication is arbitrary. We first…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

The first passage is a generic concept for quantifying when a random quantity such as the position of a diffusing molecule or the value of a stock crosses a preset threshold (target) for the first time. The last decade saw an enlightening…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-26 Aljaz Godec , Ralf Metzler

Random walks (or Markov chains) are models extensively used in theoretical computer science. Several tools, including analysis of quantities such as hitting and mixing times, are helpful for devising randomized algorithms. A notable example…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Lorenzo Laneve , Francesco Tacchino , Ivano Tavernelli

Using the martingale approach we find sufficient conditions for exponential boundedness of first passage times over a level for ergodic first order autoregressive sequences (AR(1)). Further, we prove a martingale identity to be used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

First passage time plays a fundamental role in dynamical characterization of stochastic processes. Crucially, our current understanding on the problem is almost entirely relies on the theoretical formulations, which assume the processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Yuta Sakamoto , Takahiro Sakaue

Squaring and adding $\pm 1$ mod p generates a curiously intractable random walk. A similar process over the finite field $\mathbf{F}_q$ (with $q=2^d$) leads to novel connections between elementary Galois theory and probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Persi Diaconis , Jimmy He , I. Martin Isaacs

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

The aim of this note is to construct a probability measure on the space of trajectories in a continuous time Markov chain having a finite state diagram, or more generally which admits a global bound on its degree and rates. Our approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

Consider first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with passage times given by i.i.d. random variables with common distribution $F$. Let $t_\pi(u,v)$ be the time from $u$ to $v$ for a path $\pi$ and $t(u,v)$ the minimal time among all…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Enrique D. Andjel , Maria Eulalia Vares

A class of algorithms in discrete space and continuous time for Brownian first passage time estimation is considered. A simple algorithm is derived that yields exact mean first passage times (MFPT) for linear potentials in one dimension,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Artur B. Adib

We describe parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propagate a collective ensemble of paths, with local covariance information calculated from neighboring replicas. The use of collective dynamics eliminates multiplicative noise and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare , Benedict Leimkuhler

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

Suppose that $\mathcal C$ is a finite collection of patterns. Observe a Markov chain until one of the patterns in $\mathcal C$ occurs as a run. This time is denoted by $\tau$. In this paper, we aim to give an easy way to calculate the mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Min-Zhi Zhao , Dong Xu , Hui-Zeng Zhang

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya