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Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Carles Bretó

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

Gerber and Li in \cite{GeLi} formulated, using a Markov chain embedding, a system of equations that describes relations between generating functions of waiting time distributions for occurrences of patterns in a sequence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Krzysztof Zajkowski

The mean first-passage time (MFPT) is one standard measure for the reaction time in thermally activated barrier-crossing processes. While the relationship between MFPTs and phenomenological rate coefficients is known for systems that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-12 Qingyuan Zhou , Roland R. Netz , Benjamin A. Dalton

First passage of stochastic processes under resetting has recently been an active research topic in the field of statistical physics. However, most of previous studies mainly focused on the systems with continuous time and space. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-30 Hanshuang Chen , Guofeng Li , Feng Huang

In this paper we analyze a L\'evy process reflected at a general (possibly random) barrier. For this process we prove Central Limit Theorem for the first passage time. We also give the finite-time first passage probability asymptotics.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Świątek

We develop a method based on martingales to study first-passage problems of time-additive observables exiting an interval of finite width in a Markov process. In the limit that the interval width is large, we derive generic expressions for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-14 Izaak Neri

The time it takes the fastest searcher out of $N\gg1$ searchers to find a target determines the timescale of many physical, chemical, and biological processes. This time is called an extreme first passage time (FPT) and is typically much…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Sean D Lawley

We propose a very efficient method for pricing various types of lookback options under Markov models. We utilize the model-free representations of lookback option prices as integrals of first passage probabilities. We combine efficient…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

In this work, we present a general method to establish properties of multi-dimensional continuous-time Markov chains representing stochastic reaction networks. This method consists of grouping states together (via a partition of the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Guillaume Ballif , Laurent Pfeiffer , Jakob Ruess

The embedding problem of Markov transition matrices into continuous-time Markov semigroups is a classic problem that regained a lot of impetus and activities in recent years. We consider it here for the following generalisation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Ellen Baake , Michael Baake

We use coupling to study the time taken until the distribution of a statistic on a Markov chain is close to its stationary distribution. Coupling is a common technique used to obtain upper bounds on mixing times of Markov chains, and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Graham White

This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Florian Bouguet , Florent Malrieu , Fabien Panloup , Christophe Poquet , Julien Reygner

We investigate the first-passage properties of nearest-neighbor hopping on a finite interval with disordered hopping rates. We develop an approach that relies on the backward equation, in conjunction with probability generating functions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 James Holehouse , S. Redner

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

The first-passage time is proposed as an independent thermodynamic parameter of the statistical distribution that generalizes the Gibbs distribution. The theory does not include the determination of the first passage statistics itself. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-22 V. V. Ryazanov

We obtain moment and Gaussian bounds for general Lipschitz functions evaluated along the sample path of a Markov chain. We treat Markov chains on general (possibly unbounded) state spaces via a coupling method. If the first moment of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-08 J. -R. Chazottes , F. Redig

In this study, we address the central issue of statistical inference for Markov jump processes using discrete time observations. The primary problem at hand is to accurately estimate the infinitesimal generator of a Markov jump process, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 F. Baltazar-Larios , Luz Judith R. Esparza