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Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments given by Markovian dynamics on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. We assume that the environment has a stationary distribution $\mu$ and satisfies the Poincar\'e inequality w.r.t. $\mu$. The random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 L. Avena , O. Blondel , A. Faggionato

This paper introduces novel frameworks for large deviations and metastability analysis in heavy-tailed stochastic dynamical systems. We develop and apply these frameworks within the context of stochastic difference equation $X^\eta_{j+1}(x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

In optical non-linear processes rogue waves can be observed, which can be mathematically described by heavy-tailed distributions. These distributions are special due to the fact that the probability of registering extremely high intensities…

Optics · Physics 2021-05-26 Éva Rácz , László Ruppert , Radim Filip

Driven many-particle systems with nonlinear interactions are known to often display multi-stability, i.e. depending on the respective initial condition, there may be different outcomes. Here, we study this phenomenon for traffic models,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Dirk Helbing , Mehdi Moussaid

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We consider the transport statistics of classical bistable systems driven by noise. The stochastic path integral formalism is used to investigate the dynamics and distribution of transmitted charge. Switching rates between the two stable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrew N. Jordan , Eugene V. Sukhorukov

Statistical mechanics of two coupled vector fields is studied in the tight-binding model that describes propagation of polarized light in discrete waveguides in the presence of the four-wave mixing. The energy and power conservation laws…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-09 S. A. Derevyanko

We obtain a general solution for the probability density function of wave intensities in non-stationary Wave Turbulence. The solution is expressed in terms of the wave action spectrum evolving according the the wave-kinetic equation. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 Yeontaek Choi , Young-Sam Kwon , Sanggyu Jo , Sergey Nazarenko

It has been observed in numerous experiments, simulations, and various theoretical treatments that the spreading of particles can be modeled by the continuous-time random walk. We consider two well-known cases, i.e., Gaussian displacements…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-21 Wanli Wang , Kaixin Zhang , Yuda Cheng

Dynamics near and far away from thermal equilibrium is studied within the framework of Langevin equations. A stochasticity-dissipation relation is proposed to emphasize the equal importance of the stochastic and deterministic forces in…

Classical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Ao

We review some recent developments which make use of the concept of `superstatistics', an effective description for nonequilibrium systems with a varying intensive parameter such as the inverse temperature. We describe how the asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Christian Beck

We study the stochastic dynamics of a particle with two distinct motility states. Each one is characterized by two parameters: one represents the average speed and the other represents the persistence quantifying the tendency to maintain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-16 M. Reza Shaebani , Heiko Rieger

Let $X_{1},..,X_{n}$ denote an i.i.d. sample with light tail distribution and $S_{1}^{n}$ denote the sum of its terms; let $a_{n}$ be a real sequence\ going to infinity with $n.$\ In a previous paper (\cite{BoniaCao}) it is proved that as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional nonhomogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-25 Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice , Manuele Onofri , Roberto Artuso

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

We consider stationary time series $\{X_j, j \in Z\} whose finite dimensional distributions are regularly varying with extremal independence. We assume that for each $h \geq 1$, conditionally on $X_0$ to exceed a threshold tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Clemonell Bilayi-Biakana , Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Decay law of a complicated unstable state formed in a high energy collision is described by the Fourier transform of the two-point correlation function of the scattering matrix. Although each constituent resonance state decays exponentially…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Valentin V. Sokolov