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Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Predicting extreme events in high-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge, as such events are rare, intermittent, and arise from transient dynamical mechanisms that are difficult to infer from limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Eirini Katsidoniotaki , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We consider a model for substrate-depletion oscillations in genetic systems, based on a stochastic differential equation with a slowly evolving external signal. We show the existence of critical transitions in the system. We apply two…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-03-13 Jesse Berwald , Marian Gidea

Reservoir computing is a bio-inspired computing paradigm for processing time-dependent signals. Its hardware implementations have received much attention because of their simplicity and remarkable performance on a series of benchmark tasks.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-07 Piotr Antonik , Marc Haelterman , Serge Massar

We propose a novel molecular computing approach based on reservoir computing. In reservoir computing, a dynamical core, called a reservoir, is perturbed with an external input signal while a readout layer maps the reservoir dynamics to a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Alireza Goudarzi , Matthew R. Lakin , Darko Stefanovic

This paper introduces a novel approach to predicting periodic time series using reservoir computing. The model is tailored to deliver precise forecasts of rhythms, a crucial aspect for tasks such as generating musical rhythm. Leveraging…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Zhongju Yuan , Geraint Wiggins , Dick Botteldooren

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

Critical transitions, or large changes in the state of a system after a small change in the system's external conditions or parameters, commonly occur in a wide variety of disciplines, from the biological and social sciences to physics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 George I. Hagstrom , Simon A. Levin

Quantum machine learning is a rapidly advancing discipline that leverages the features of quantum mechanics to enhance the performance of computational tasks. Quantum reservoir processing, which allows efficient optimization of a single…

Next Generation Reservoir Computing (NG-RC) is a modern class of model-free machine learning that enables an accurate forecasting of time series data generated by dynamical systems. We demonstrate that NG-RC can accurately predict full…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-24 Apimuk Sornsaeng , Ninnat Dangniam , Thiparat Chotibut

Critical transitions in multistable systems have been discussed as models for a variety of phenomena ranging from the extinctions of species to socio-economic changes and climate transitions between ice-ages and warm-ages. From bifurcation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-24 Xiaozhu Zhang , Christian Kuehn , Sarah Hallerberg

Machine learning has become a fundamental approach for modeling, prediction, and control, enabling systems to learn from data and perform complex tasks. Reservoir computing is a machine learning tool that leverages high-dimensional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Sahand Tangerami , Nicholas A. Mecholsky , Francesco Sorrentino

Many classic questions of structural theory concern discrete changes, such as the formation or dissolution of groups, role turnover, or faction realignment. Here, we consider a basic framework combining prior work on change paths and recent…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Carter T. Butts

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a high-dimensional dynamical system, or \emph{reservoir}, to approximate and predict time series data. The scale, speed and power usage of reservoir computers could be enhanced by…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Forrest C. Sheldon , Artemy Kolchinsky , Francesco Caravelli

Nonequilibrium statistical mechanics exhibit a variety of complex phenomena far from equilibrium. It inherits challenges of equilibrium, including accurately describing the joint distribution of a large number of configurations, and also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-08 Ying Tang , Jing Liu , Jiang Zhang , Pan Zhang

Deep learning techniques have shown promise in many domain applications. This paper proposes a novel deep reservoir computing framework, termed deep recurrent stochastic configuration network (DeepRSCN) for modelling nonlinear dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Gang Dang , Dianhui Wang

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

In this work, we combine nonlinear system control techniques with next-generation reservoir computing, a best-in-class machine learning approach for predicting the behavior of dynamical systems. We demonstrate the performance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Robert M. Kent , Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

Understanding the fundamental relationships between physics and its information-processing capability has been an active research topic for many years. Physical reservoir computing is a recently introduced framework that allows one to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-06-24 Kohei Nakajima

Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a "next-generation"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Sarah E. Marzen , Paul M. Riechers , James P. Crutchfield