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There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

This article introduces a Bayesian nonparametric method for quantifying the relative evidence in a dataset in favour of the dependence or independence of two variables conditional on a third. The approach uses Polya tree priors on spaces of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Onur Teymur , Sarah Filippi

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Nonignorable missing outcomes are common in real world datasets and often require strong parametric assumptions to achieve identification. These assumptions can be implausible or untestable, and so we may forgo them in favour of partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-19 Daniel Daly-Grafstein , Paul Gustafson

It is very challenging to select informative features from tens of thousands of measured features in high-throughput data analysis. Recently, several parametric/regression models have been developed utilizing the gene network information to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Yize Zhao , Jian Kang , Tianwei Yu

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

Many scientific and industrial processes produce data that is best analysed as vectors of relative values, often called compositions or proportions. The Dirichlet distribution is a natural distribution to use for composition or proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Sean van der Merwe

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

We consider an array of random variables, taking values in a complete and separable metric space, that exhibits a kind of symmetry which we call row exchangeability. Given such an array, a natural model for Bayesian nonparametric inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Evan Donald , Jason Swanson

We present a novel approach for the search of dark matter in the DarkSide-50 experiment, relying on Bayesian Networks. This method incorporates the detector response model into the likelihood function, explicitly maintaining the connection…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-04-27 50 Collaboration , P. Agnes , I. F. M. Albuquerque , T. Alexander , A. K. Alton , M. Ave , H. O. Back , G. Batignani , K. Biery , V. Bocci , W. M. Bonivento , B. Bottino , S. Bussino , M. Cadeddu , M. Cadoni , F. Calaprice , A. Caminata , M. D. Campos , N. Canci , M. Caravati , N. Cargioli , M. Cariello , M. Carlini , V. Cataudella , P. Cavalcante , S. Cavuoti , S. Chashin , A. Chepurnov , C. Cicalò , G. Covone , D. D'Angelo , S. Davini , A. De Candia , S. De Cecco , G. De Filippis , G. De Rosa , A. V. Derbin , A. Devoto , M. D'Incecco , C. Dionisi , F. Dordei , M. Downing , D. D'Urso , M. Fairbairn , G. Fiorillo , D. Franco , F. Gabriele , C. Galbiati , C. Ghiano , C. Giganti , G. K. Giovanetti , A. M. Goretti , G. Grilli di Cortona , A. Grobov , M. Gromov , M. Guan , M. Gulino , B. R. Hackett , K. Herner , T. Hessel , B. Hosseini , F. Hubaut , E. V. Hungerford , An. Ianni , V. Ippolito , K. Keeter , C. L. Kendziora , M. Kimura , I. Kochanek , D. Korablev , G. Korga , A. Kubankin , M. Kuss , M. La Commara , M. Lai , X. Li , M. Lissia , G. Longo , O. Lychagina , I. N. Machulin , L. P. Mapelli , S. M. Mari , J. Maricic , A. Messina , R. Milincic , J. Monroe , M. Morrocchi , X. Mougeot , V. N. Muratova , P. Musico , A. O. Nozdrina , A. Oleinik , F. Ortica , L. Pagani , M. Pallavicini , L. Pandola , E. Pantic , E. Paoloni , K. Pelczar , N. Pelliccia , S. Piacentini , A. Pocar , D. M. Poehlmann , S. Pordes , S. S. Poudel , P. Pralavorio , D. D. Price , F. Ragusa , M. Razeti , A. Razeto , A. L. Renshaw , M. Rescigno , J. Rode , A. Romani , D. Sablone , O. Samoylov , E. Sandford , W. Sands , S. Sanfilippo , C. Savarese , B. Schlitzer , D. A. Semenov , A. Shchagin , A. Sheshukov , M. D. Skorokhvatov , O. Smirnov , A. Sotnikov , S. Stracka , Y. Suvorov , R. Tartaglia , G. Testera , A. Tonazzo , E. V. Unzhakov , A. Vishneva , R. B. Vogelaar , M. Wada , H. Wang , Y. Wang , S. Westerdale , M. M. Wojcik , X. Xiao , C. Yang , G. Zuzel

The object of this paper is to develop a statistical approach to criminal linkage analysis that discovers and groups crime events that share a common offender and prioritizes suspects for further investigation. Bayes factors are used to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-10 Michael D. Porter

The problem of estimating discovery probabilities originated in the context of statistical ecology, and in recent years it has become popular due to its frequent appearance in challenging applications arising in genetics, bioinformatics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Stefano Favaro , Bernardo Nipoti , Yee Whye Teh

In many real life problems, objects are described by large number of binary features. For instance, documents are characterized by presence or absence of certain keywords; cancer patients are characterized by presence or absence of certain…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-09 Tapesh Santra

The Dirichlet process (DP) is one of the most popular Bayesian nonparametric models. An open problem with the DP is how to choose its infinite dimensional parameter (base measure) in case of lack of prior information. In this work we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Alessio Benavoli , Francesca Mangili , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Marco Zaffalon

Mixture models are widely used in modeling heterogeneous data populations. A standard approach of mixture modeling assumes that the mixture component takes a parametric kernel form. In many applications, making parametric assumptions on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Yilei Zhang , Yun Wei , Aritra Guha , XuanLong Nguyen

A critical step in data analysis for many different types of experiments is the identification of features with theoretically defined shapes in N-dimensional datasets; examples of this process include finding peaks in multi-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-08-25 Korak Kumar Ray , Anjali R. Verma , Ruben L. Gonzalez , Colin D. Kinz-Thompson

For many decades, statisticians have made attempts to prepare the Bayesian omelette without breaking the Bayesian eggs; that is, to obtain probabilistic likelihood-based inferences without relying on informative prior distributions. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-08 Andrew Gelman , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

Given a sample of size $n$ from a population of individuals belonging to different species with unknown proportions, a popular problem of practical interest consists in making inference on the probability $D_{n}(l)$ that the $(n+1)$-th draw…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Julyan Arbel , Stefano Favaro , Bernardo Nipoti , Yee Whye Teh
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