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Probabilistic forecasting of complex phenomena is paramount to various scientific disciplines and applications. Despite the generality and importance of the problem, general mathematical techniques that allow for stable long-term forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Alex Mallen , Henning Lange , J. Nathan Kutz

Recently a path integral formalism has been proposed by the author which gives the time evolution of moments of slow variables in a Hamiltonian statistical system. This closure relies on evaluating the informational discrepancy of a time…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-23 Richard Kleeman

The aims of this paper are twofold. Firstly, we derive some probabilistic representation for the constant which appears in the one-dimensional case of Kesten's renewal theorem. Secondly, we estimate the tail of some related random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-10 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot , Olivier Zindy

We introduce and investigate a new notion of the theory of approximation-the so-called degenerate approximation, i.e. approximation of the function of two (and more) variables (kernel) by means of degenerate function (kernel). We apply…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Discretizations of the Feynman-Kac path integral representation of the quantum mechanical density matrix are investigated. Each infinite-dimensional path integral is approximated by a Riemann integral over a finite-dimensional function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen D. Bond , Brian B. Laird , Benedict J. Leimkuhler

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

A random set is a generalisation of a random variable, i.e. a set-valued random variable. The random set theory allows a unification of other uncertainty descriptions such as interval variable, mass belief function in Dempster-Shafer theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Hermann G. Matthies

In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly popular framework for building such intervals with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Rohan Hore , Rina Foygel Barber

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 V. Shcherbakov

For a class of degenerate diffusion processes of rank 2, i.e. when only Poisson brackets of order one are needed to span the whole space, we obtain a parametrix representation of the density from which we derive some explicit Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-18 Valentin Konakov , Stephane Menozzi , Stanislav Molchanov

A proof that minimum uncertainty states of the simplest periodic quantum system exist in a state space that is represented by a Colombeau algebra of generalised functions but not in Hilbert space or in the space of Schwartz distributions is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-06-16 Ian G Fuss , Alexei Filinkov

The classical limit problem of quantum mechanics is revisited on the basis of a scheme that enables a quantitative study of the way the quantum-classical agreement emerges while going through the intermediate mass range between the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Dipankar Home , Alok Kumar Pan , Arka Banerjee

This work follows from a previous study on the estimation of an initial distribution of telomere length from a senescence times distribution done in [10.1051/m2an/2026022, J. Olay{\'e}]. In this previous study, we have presented an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Jules Olayé

We introduce a low dimensional function of the site frequency spectrum that is tailor-made for distinguishing coalescent models with multiple mergers from Kingman coalescent models with population growth, and use this function to construct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela

We study a nonlinear recombination model from population genetics as a combinatorial version of the Kac-Boltzmann equation from kinetic theory. Following Kac's approach, the nonlinear model is approximated by a mean field linear evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Pietro Caputo , Daniel Parisi

We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

A consistent kernel estimator of the limiting spectral distribution of general sample covariance matrices was introduced in Jing, Pan, Shao and Zhou (2010). The central limit theorem of the kernel estimator is proved in this paper.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-25 Guangming Pan , Qi-Man Shao , Wang Zhou

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

Discrete-time quantum walks are considered a counterpart of random walks and the study for them has been getting attention since around 2000. In this paper, we focus on a quantum walk which generates a probability distribution splitting to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-08 Takuya Machida