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We consider a dynamic metapopulation involving one large population of size N surrounded by colonies of size \varepsilon_NN, usually called peripheral isolates in ecology, where N\to\infty and \varepsilon_N\to 0 in such a way that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Amaury Lambert , Chunhua Ma

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

Quantification, or prevalence estimation, is the task of predicting the prevalence of each class within an unknown bag of examples. Most existing quantification methods in the literature rely on prior probability shift assumptions to create…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Olaya Pérez-Mon , Juan José del Coz , Pablo González

Kingman (1978)'s representation theorem states that any exchangeable partition of $\mathbb{N}$ can be represented as a paintbox based on a random mass-partition. Similarly, any exchangeable composition (i.e. ordered partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

In this paper we introduce five different algorithms based on method of moments, maximum likelihood and full Bayesian estimation for learning the parameters of the Inverse Gamma distribution. We also provide an expression for the KL…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-11 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann

For a quantum-mechanically spread-out particle we investigate a method for determining its arrival time at a specific location. The procedure is based on the emission of a first photon from a two-level system moving into a laser-illuminated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. A. Damborenea , I. L. Egusquiza , G. C. Hegerfeldt , J. G. Muga

We prove for the rescaled convolution map $f\to f\circledast f$ propagation of polynomial, exponential and gaussian localization. The gaussian localization is then used to prove an optimal bound on the rate of entropy production by this…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-14 E. Carlen , A. Soffer

In Jurek 1985 and 1988 the random integral representations conjecture was stated. It claims that (some) limit laws can be written as probability distributions of random integrals of the form $\int_{(a,b]}h(t)dY_{\nu}(r(t))$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Zbigniew J. Jurek

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

A new family of distribution is proposed by using Kumaraswamy-G (Cordeiro and de Castro, 2011) distribution as the base line distribution in the Generalized Marshal-Olkin (Jayakumar and Mathew, 2008) Construction. A number of special cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

This paper presents in detail the originally developed Quadratic Point Estimate Method (QPEM), aimed at efficiently and accurately computing the first four output moments of probabilistic distributions, using 2n^2+1 sample (or sigma)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Minhyeok Ko , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

In the spiked population model introduced by Johnstone (2001),the population covariance matrix has all its eigenvalues equal to unit except for a few fixed eigenvalues (spikes). The question is to quantify the effect of the perturbation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Zhidong Bai , Jian-Feng Yao

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

Quantization for a probability distribution refers to the idea of estimating a given probability by a discrete probability supported by a finite number of points. In this paper, firstly a general approach to this process is outlined using…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Joseph Rosenblatt , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

Motivated by second order asymptotic results, we characterize the convergence in law of double integrals, with respect to Poisson random measures, toward a standard Gaussian distribution. Our conditions are expressed in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Giovanni Peccati , Murad S. Taqqu

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

Based on direct integrals, a framework allowing to integrate a parametrised family of reproducing kernels with respect to some measure on the parameter space is developed. By pointwise integration, one obtains again a reproducing kernel…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Thomas Hotz , Fabian J. E. Telschow

We give a closed form of the discrete-time evolution of a recombination transformation in population genetics. This decomposition allows to define a Markov chain in a natural way. We describe the geometric decay rate to the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Servet Martinez

Estimation of epidemiological and population parameters from molecular sequence data has become central to the understanding of infectious disease dynamics. Various models have been proposed to infer details of the dynamics that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-25 Alex Popinga , Tim Vaughan , Tanja Stadler , Alexei Drummond