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Many natural systems exhibit phase transition where external environmental conditions spark a shift to a new and sometimes quite different state. Therefore, detecting the behavior of a stochastic dynamic system such as the most probable…
Brownian motion is modelled by a harmonic oscillator (Brownian particle) interacting with a continuous set of uncoupled harmonic oscillators. The interaction is linear in the coordinates and the momenta. The model has an analytical solution…
Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…
We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…
A recent experiment on Brownian motion has been interpreted to exhibit direct evidence for microscopic chaos. In this note we demonstrate that virtually identical results can be obtained numerically using a manifestly microscopically…
The skew Brownian motion is a strong Markov process which behaves like a Brownian motion until hitting zero and exhibits an asymmetry at zero. We address the following question: what is a natural counterpart of the skew Brownian motion in…
Solving optimal control problems to determine a stabilizing controller involves a significant computational effort. Time-varying optimal control provides a remedy by designing a tracking system, given as an ordinary differential equation,…
We study the problem of optimal inside control of an SPDE (a stochastic evolution equation) driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. Our optimal control problem is new in two ways: (i) The controller has access to inside…
We study the problem of optimal dividend payout from a surplus process governed by Brownian motion with drift under the additional constraint of ratcheting, i.e. the dividend rate can never decrease. We solve the resulting two-dimensional…
High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…
We study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator corresponding to the observation of a trajectory of a Skew Brownian motion, through a uniform time discretization. We characterize the speed of convergence and the…
We address the theory of records for integrated random walks with finite variance. The long-time continuum limit of these walks is a non-Markov process known as the random acceleration process or the integral of Brownian motion. In this…
This paper is concerned with a Stackelberg stochastic differential game with asymmetric noisy observation, with one follower and one leader. In our model, the follower cannot observe the state process directly, but could observe a noisy…
We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…
We investigate a control process described by a linear system of ordinary differential equations with a noise of special type acting to the control parameter. As the cost functional the probability of the final state vector to enter to a…
In this paper, a partially observed stochastic linear Stackelberg differential game with mean-variance criteria is studied. Randomness comes from Brownian motions and Poisson random measures. which leads to a circular dependency. We follow…
We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…
We consider a Markov-modulated Brownian motion $\{Y(t), \rho(t)\}$ with two boundaries at $0$ and $b > 0$, and allow for the controlling Markov chain $\{\rho(t)\}$ to instantaneously undergo a change of phase upon hitting either of the two…
We introduce a technique to merge two biased Brownian motions into a single regular process. The outcome follows a stochastic differential equation with a constant diffusion coefficient and a non-linear drift. The emerging stochastic…
We consider the model of Brownian motion indexed by the Brownian tree, which has appeared in a variety of different contexts in probability, statistical physics and combinatorics. For this model, the total occupation measure is known to…