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Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

We consider the problem of constructing multiple independent conditional randomization tests using a single dataset. Because the tests are independent, the randomization p-values can be interpreted individually and combined using standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Yao Zhang , Qingyuan Zhao

The use of machine learning models in decision support systems with high societal impact raised concerns about unfair (disparate) results for different groups of people. When evaluating such unfair decisions, one generally relies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Miguel Couceiro , Leonardo Tomazeli Duarte

We consider the problem of testing whether pairs of univariate random variables are associated. Few tests of independence exist that are consistent against all dependent alternatives and are distribution free. We propose novel tests that…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-09 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Malka Gorfine

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

We study the problem of independence and conditional independence tests between categorical covariates and a continuous response variable, which has an immediate application in genetics. Instead of estimating the conditional distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Bo Jiang , Chao Ye , Jun S. Liu

A seminal result in the ICA literature states that for $AY = \varepsilon$, if the components of $\varepsilon$ are independent and at most one is Gaussian, then $A$ is identified up to sign and permutation of its rows (Comon, 1994). In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Geert Mesters , Piotr Zwiernik

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Structural independence is the (conditional) independence that arises from the structure rather than the precise numerical values of a distribution. We develop this concept and relate it to $d$-separation and structural causal models.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Matthias Georg Mayer

In this paper we propose several variants to perform the independence test between two random elements based on recurrence rates. We will show how to calculate the test statistic in each one of these cases. From simulations we obtain that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Juan Kalemkerian , Diego Fernández

Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

Conditional independence provides a way to understand causal relationships among the variables of interest. An underlying system may exhibit more fine-grained causal relationships especially between a variable and its parents, which will be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Inwoo Hwang , Yunhyeok Kwak , Yeon-Ji Song , Byoung-Tak Zhang , Sanghack Lee

Deep learning methods have proved highly effective for classification and image recognition problems. In this paper, we ask whether this success can be transferred to hypothesis testing: if a neural network can distinguish, for example, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Gery Geenens , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux , Ivan Muyun Zou

One of the most popular class of tests for independence between two random variables is the general class of rank statistics which are invariant under permutations. This class contains Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation statistic,…

Computation · Statistics 2009-02-04 Ehab F. Abd-Elfattah

Measuring a strength of dependence of random variables is an important problem in statistical practice. In this paper, we propose a new function valued measure of dependence of two random variables. It allows one to study and visualize…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-12 Teresa Ledwina

This paper develops a novel unified framework for testing mutual independence among random objects residing in possibly different metric spaces. The framework generalizes existing methodologies and introduces new measures of mutual…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Yaqing Chen , Paromita Dubey

We establish a fundamental connection between optimal structure learning and optimal conditional independence testing by showing that the minimax optimal rate for structure learning problems is determined by the minimax rate for conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Ming Gao , Yuhao Wang , Bryon Aragam

We propose a new method named the Conditional Randomization Rank Test (CRRT) for testing conditional independence of a response variable Y and a covariate variable X, conditional on the rest of the covariates Z. The new method generalizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Yanjie Zhong , Todd Kuffner , Soumendra Lahiri

We study conditional independence under infinite measures on punctured product spaces, a notion recently introduced for graphical modeling in multivariate extremes and L\'evy processes. In contrast to classical probabilistic conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Shuyang Bai , Vishal Routh

We study the problem of independence testing given independent and identically distributed pairs taking values in a $\sigma$-finite, separable measure space. Defining a natural measure of dependence $D(f)$ as the squared $L^2$-distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Thomas B. Berrett , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Richard J. Samworth
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