Related papers: Escape probabilities of compound renewal processes…

In this paper, we study the dynamics of a random walker diffusing on a disordered one-dimensional lattice with random trappings. The distribution of escape probabilities is computed exactly for any strength of the disorder. These…

We investigate an insurance risk model that consists of two reserves which receive income at fixed rates. Claims are being requested at random epochs from each reserve and the interclaim times are generally distributed. The two reserves are…

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

We consider the persistence probabilities of an autoregressive chain of order one with continuous innovations. In the case of positive drifts, we show that these persistence probabilities are compound-geometric and satisfy a Baxter-Spitzer…

The loop-erased random walk (LERW) in $\mathbb{Z}^4$ is the process obtained by erasing loops chronologically for simple random walk. We prove that the escape probability of the LERW renormalized by $(\log n)^{\frac{1}{3}}$ converges almost…

We consider the general branching random walk under minimal assumptions, which in particular guarantee that the empirical particle distribution admits an almost sure central limit theorem. For such a process, we study the large time decay…

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

In this note we find a formula for the supremum distribution of spectrally positive or negative L\'evy processes with a broken linear drift. This gives formulas for ruin probabilities in the case when two insurance companies (or two…

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo correlated random walks and a company defaults if its assets fall below a threshold provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Typical one year default correlations…

Starting from a continuous time random walk (CTRW) model of particles that may evanesce as they walk, our goal is to arrive at macroscopic integro-differential equations for the probability density for a particle to be found at point r at…

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on fractional diffusion equations and related random walk models. The fundamental solutions of these equations can be interpreted as probability densities evolving in time…

We explore the concept of metastability in random dynamical systems, focussing on connections between random Perron-Frobenius operator cocycles and escape rates of random maps, and on topological entropy of random shifts of finite type. The…

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

First-passage properties of continuous stochastic processes confined in a 1--dimensional interval are well described. However, for jump processes (discrete random walks), the characterization of the corresponding observables remains…

This work develops asymptotic properties of a class of switching jump diffusion processes. The processes under consideration may be viewed as a number of jump diffusion processes modulated by a random switching mechanism. The underlying…

A deterministic walk in a random environment can be understood as a general random process with finite-range dependence that starts repeating a loop once it reaches a site it has visited before. Such process lacks the Markov property. We…

By using the large deviation principle, we investigate the expected exit time from the interval [-1,1] of a process of autoregressive type. The case when the autoregression function f is linear and the innovations have a normal distribution…

Lagrangian motions of fluid particles in a general velocity field oscillating in time are studied with the use of the two-timing method. Our aims are: (i) to calculate systematically the most general and practically usable asymptotic…

The crossing probability in the time direction is defined for an off-equilibrium reaction-diffusion system as the probability that the system of size L is still active at time t, in the finite-size scaling limit. Exact results are obtained…