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Information-theoretic generalization bounds based on the supersample construction are a central tool for algorithm-dependent generalization analysis in the batch i.i.d.~setting. However, existing supersample conditional mutual information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Futoshi Futami , Masahiro Fujisawa

We define an online learning and optimization problem with discrete and irreversible decisions contributing toward a coverage target. In each period, a decision-maker selects facilities to open, receives information on the success of each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Alexandre Jacquillat , Michael Lingzhi Li

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

We integrate information-theoretic concepts into the design and analysis of optimistic algorithms and Thompson sampling. By making a connection between information-theoretic quantities and confidence bounds, we obtain results that relate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

With the rise of the digital economy and an explosion of available information about consumers, effective personalization of goods and services has become a core business focus for companies to improve revenues and maintain a competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Zhaonan Qu , Isabella Qian , Zhengyuan Zhou

Perfectly rational decision-makers maximize expected utility, but crucially ignore the resource costs incurred when determining optimal actions. Here we employ an axiomatic framework for bounded rational decision-making based on a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-29 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

The goal of meta-learning is to train a model on a variety of learning tasks, such that it can adapt to new problems within only a few iterations. Here we propose a principled information-theoretic model that optimally partitions the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-10 Heinke Hihn , Daniel A. Braun

We propose information-directed sampling -- a new approach to online optimization problems in which a decision-maker must balance between exploration and exploitation while learning from partial feedback. Each action is sampled in a manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

This paper analyzes a dynamic interaction between a fully rational, privately informed sender and a boundedly rational, uninformed receiver with memory constraints. The sender controls the flow of information, while the receiver designs a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-12 Qingmin Liu , Yuyang Miao

Resource allocation in distributed and networked systems such as the Cloud is becoming increasingly flexible, allowing these systems to dynamically adjust toward the workloads they serve, in a demand-aware manner. Online balanced…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Harald Räcke , Stefan Schmid , Ruslan Zabrodin

We try to establish a unified information theoretic approach to learning and to explore some of its applications. First, we define {\em predictive information} as the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman

We provide an information-theoretic analysis of Thompson sampling that applies across a broad range of online optimization problems in which a decision-maker must learn from partial feedback. This analysis inherits the simplicity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

The notion of bounded rationality originated from the insight that perfectly rational behavior cannot be realized by agents with limited cognitive or computational resources. Research on bounded rationality, mainly initiated by Herbert…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Eyke Hüllermeier , Felix Mohr , Alexander Tornede , Marcel Wever

We derive information-theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on the information contained in predictions rather than in the output of the training algorithm. These bounds improve over the existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Maxim Raginsky , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We consider information-theoretic bounds on expected generalization error for statistical learning problems in a networked setting. In this setting, there are $K$ nodes, each with its own independent dataset, and the models from each node…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-17 L. P. Barnes , Alex Dytso , H. V. Poor

In an information-rich world, people's time and attention must be divided among rapidly changing information sources and the diverse tasks demanded of them. How people decide which of the many sources, such as scientific articles or…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Kristina Lerman , Nathan Hodas , Hao Wu

We identify fundamental issues with discretization when estimating information-theoretic quantities in the analysis of data. These difficulties are theoretical in nature and arise with discrete datasets carrying significant implications for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-24 Venkateshan Kannan , Jesper Tegnèr

The overall predictive uncertainty of a trained predictor can be decomposed into separate contributions due to epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. Under a Bayesian formulation, assuming a well-specified model, the two contributions can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Sharu Theresa Jose , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Contextual online decision-making problems with constraints appear in a wide range of real-world applications, such as adaptive experimental design under safety constraints, personalized recommendation with resource limits, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi , Navid Azizan

In experimental applications of bounded-reasoning models, behavior is often summarized by distributions of "levels". We argue that such summaries conflate two conceptually distinct dimensions: a player's type, capturing beliefs about what…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-15 Shuige Liu , Gabriel Ziegler