English

Reasoning about Bounded Reasoning

Theoretical Economics 2026-04-15 v5

Abstract

In experimental applications of bounded-reasoning models, behavior is often summarized by distributions of "levels". We argue that such summaries conflate two conceptually distinct dimensions: a player's type, capturing beliefs about what types their opponents might be, and the depth of higher-order reasoning about rationality. Distinguishing these dimensions matters for interpreting experimental evidence and for understanding when cross-environment variation should be read as changes in beliefs versus changes in cognitive depth, but existing frameworks provide no language to do so. We develop a unified framework by "lifting" static complete-information games into incomplete-information versions in which players are explicitly uncertain about opponents' types. Within this framework, bounded reasoning about opponents' types is represented by transparent first-order belief restrictions, while (higher-order) reasoning depth is captured by bounds on belief in rationality. We analyze three benchmark instances: downward rationalizability, a robust baseline, and two refinements, L\mathsf{L}-rationalizability and C\mathsf{C}-rationalizability, which provide epistemic foundations -- with an important nuance -- for classic level-kk and Cognitive Hierarchy, respectively, and clarify what "level-kk" behavior can and cannot reveal about underlying reasoning processes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2506.19737,
  title  = {Reasoning about Bounded Reasoning},
  author = {Shuige Liu and Gabriel Ziegler},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2506.19737},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T03:31:49.929Z