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This paper aims to reduce randomness in football by analysing the role of lineups in final scores using machine learning prediction models we have developed. Football clubs invest millions of dollars on lineups and knowing how individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 George Peters , Diogo Pacheco

Although basketball is a dynamic process sport, with 5 plus 5 players competing on both offense and defense simultaneously, learning some static information is predominant for professional players, coaches and team mangers. In order to have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-05 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue , Dipak K. Dey

Post-training alignment optimizes language models to match human preference signals, but this objective is not equivalent to modeling observed human behavior. We compare 120 base-aligned model pairs on more than 10,000 real human decisions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Eilam Shapira , Moshe Tennenholtz , Roi Reichart

This paper presents a new framework for player valuation in European football, by fusing principles from financial mathematics and network theory. The valuation model leverages a "passing matrix" to encapsulate player interactions on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-11 Albert Cohen , Jimmy Risk

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the not purely random, but highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the probability distributions of scored goals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-02 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

We perform a numerical analysis of a recent introduced model for describing collective movement in alarmed animals groups. This model, derived from a position-based interaction and a limited attention field, displays a non-equilibrium phase…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-03-08 A. M. Calvão , E. Brigatti

Penalties are fraught and game-changing moments in soccer games that teams explicitly prepare for. Consequently, there has been substantial interest in analyzing them in order to provide advice to practitioners. From a data science…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Lotte Bransen , Tim Janssen , Jesse Davis

In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

We consider random walkers that deform the medium as they move, enabling a faster motion in regions which have been recently visited. This induces an effective attraction between walkers mediated by the medium, which can be regarded as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-29 Carlos Lajusticia-Costan , Silvia N. Santalla , Javier Rodríguez-Laguna , Elka Korutcheva

Modelling and simulation of mixed-traffic zones is an important tool for transportation planners to assess safety, efficiency, and human-friendliness of future urban areas. This paper addresses problems of calibration and transferability of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Fatema T. Johora , Jörg P. Müller

With an average football (soccer) match recording over 3,000 on-ball events, effective use of this event data is essential for practitioners at football clubs to obtain meaningful insights. Models can extract more information from this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-13 Koen W. van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

We extract and use player position time-series data, tagged along with the action types, to build a competent model for representing team tactics behavioral patterns and use this representation to predict the outcome of arbitrary movements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Omid Shokrollahi , Bahman Rohani , Amin Nobakhti

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

Agents rarely act in isolation -- their behavioral history, in particular, is public to others. We seek a non-asymptotic understanding of how a leader agent should shape this history to its maximal advantage, knowing that follower agent(s)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Vidya Muthukumar , Anant Sahai

The ability of intelligent systems to predict human behaviors is crucial, particularly in fields such as autonomous vehicle navigation and social robotics. However, the complexity of human motion have prevented the development of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Yang Gao , Po-Chien Luan , Alexandre Alahi

Posture-based mental state inference has significant potential in diagnosing fatigue, preventing injury, and enhancing performance across various domains. Such tools must be research-validated with large datasets before being translated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Abhishek Jaiswal , Nisheeth Srivastava

Modeling of crowds of pedestrians has been considered in this paper from different aspects. Based on fractional microscopic model that may be much more close to reality, a fractional macroscopic model has been proposed using conservation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-02-04 Ke-cai Cao , YangQuan Chen , Dan Stuart

Wearable devices record physiological and behavioral signals that can improve health predictions. While foundation models are increasingly used for such predictions, they have been primarily applied to low-level sensor data, despite…

Implementations of mobile games have become prevalent industrial technology due to the ubiquitous nature of mobile devices. However, simultaneous-movement multiplayer games, games that a player competes simultaneously with other players,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-09-17 Samuel King Opoku

Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Yuejiang Liu , Riccardo Cadei , Jonas Schweizer , Sherwin Bahmani , Alexandre Alahi
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