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Repulsive point processes arise in models where competition forces entities to be more spread apart than if placed independently. Simulation of these types of processes can be accomplished using dominated coupling from the past with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Mark L. Huber , Elise McCall , Daniel Rozenfeld , Jason Xu

This article presents a variant of Fleming-Viot particle systems, which are a standard way to approximate the law of a Markov process with killing as well as related quantities. Classical Fleming-Viot particle systems proceed by simulating…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Frédéric Cérou , Arnaud Guyader , Mathias Rousset

For a birth-death process subject to catastrophes, defined on the state-space $S=\{r,r+1,r+2,...\}$, with $r$ a positive integer or zero, the first-visit time to a state $k\in S$ is considered and the Laplace transform of its probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Di Crescenzo , V. Giorno , A. G. Nobile , L. M. Ricciardi

When computing the expected value of time till extinction of a Birth and Death process, the usual textbook approach results in an extreme case of numerical ill-conditioning, which prevents us from getting accurate answers beyond the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Jan Vrbik

This paper presents a wp-style calculus for obtaining expectations on the outcomes of (mutually) recursive probabilistic programs. We provide several proof rules to derive one-- and two--sided bounds for such expectations, and show the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-10 Federico Olmedo , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…

This paper concentrates on the general birth-death processes with two different types of catastrophes. The Laplace transform of transition probability function for birth-death processes with two-type catastrophes are is successfully…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Junping Li

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We consider here systems with piecewise linear dynamics that are periodically sampled with a given period {\tau} . At each sampling time, the mode of the system, i.e., the parameters of the linear dynamics, can be switched, according to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-11-15 Laurent Fribourg , Bertrand Revol , Romain Soulat

This is a method for discrete event simulation specified by survival analysis. It presents a sequence of steps. First, hazard rates from survival analysis specify the rates of a set of counting processes. Second, those counting processes…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-14 Andrew J. Dolgert

Event-triggered approach to networked control systems is used to reduce the workload of the communication network. For the static output-feedback continuous event-trigger may generate an infinite number of sampling instants in finite time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Anton Selivanov , Emilia Fridman

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We consider a strong Markov process with killing and prove an approximation method for the distribution of the process conditioned not to be killed when it is observed. The method is based on a Fleming-Viot type particle system with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Denis Villemonais

Real-time hybrid testing is a method in which a substructure of the system is realised experimentally and the rest numerically. The two parts interact in real time to emulate the dynamics of the full system. Such experiments however are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

The Van der Waals equation (VdW-EoS) is a prototype equation of state for realistic systems, because it contains the excluded volume and the particle interactions. Additionally, the simulated annealing (and the similar simulated…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-09-30 Peter Friedel

We construct a zero-entropy weakly mixing finite-valued process with the exponential limit law for return resp. hitting times. This limit law is obtained in almost every point, taking the limit along the full sequence of cylinders around…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Paulina Grzegorek , Michal Kupsa

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

An analytical study of the return time distribution of extreme events for stochastic processes with power-law correlation has been carried on. The calculation is based on an epsilon-expansion in the correlation exponent:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Piero Olla