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Hundreds of millions of people live in countries that do not have complete death registration systems, meaning that most deaths are not recorded and critical quantities like life expectancy cannot be directly measured. The sibling survival…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-01 Dennis M. Feehan , Gabriel M. Borges

The predictive machine learning models for child mortality tend to be inaccurate when applied to future populations, since they suffer from look-ahead bias due to the randomization used in cross-validation. The Demographic and Health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Md Muhtasim Munif Fahim , Md Rezaul Karim

Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Lei Fang , Wolfgang K. Härdle , Juhyun Park

Sepsis is a severe condition responsible for many deaths in the United States and worldwide, making accurate prediction of outcomes crucial for timely and effective treatment. Previous studies employing machine learning faced limitations in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Arseniy Shumilov , Yueting Zhu , Negin Ashrafi , Armin Abdollahi , Greg Placencia , Kamiar Alaei , Maryam Pishgar

Infant deaths and old age deaths are very different. The former are mostly due to severe congenital malformations of one or a small number of specific organs. On the contrary, old age deaths are largely the outcome of a long process of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-06-17 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

This report presents a statistical analysis of the impact of key maternal characteristics, including age, smoking status, parity, height, weight, and gestation period, on newborn birth weight. A realworld dataset comprising 1,236…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Prithwiraj Chatterjee , Abhinav Tanwar , Devadharshini Udayakumar

Birth weight serves as a fundamental indicator of neonatal health, closely linked to both early medical interventions and long-term developmental risks. Traditional predictive models, often constrained by limited feature selection and…

Infants with a variety of complications at or before birth are classified as being at risk for developmental delays (AR). As they grow older, they are followed by healthcare providers in an effort to discern whether they are on a typical or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-16 David Goodfellow , Ruoyu Zhi , Rebecca Funke , Jose Carlos Pulido , Maja Mataric , Beth A. Smith

Let $N$ be a natural number. We consider a population which lives on $I_N=\{-N,-N+1,\dots,N-1,N\}$. Each individual gives birth at rate $\lambda$ on each of its neighboring sites and dies at rate 1. No births are allowed from the inside of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Fetal health classification is a critical task in obstetrics, enabling early identification and management of potential health problems. However, it remains challenging due to data complexity and limited labeled samples. This research paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Sujith K Mandala

Extremely preterm infants commonly require intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation after birth. While the duration of mechanical ventilation should be minimized in order to avoid complications, extubation failure is associated with…

Preterm birth is the most common cause of neonatal death. Current diagnostic methods that assess the risk of preterm birth involve the collection of maternal characteristics and transvaginal ultrasound imaging conducted in the first and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-27 Tomasz Włodarczyk , Szymon Płotka , Tomasz Trzciński , Przemysław Rokita , Nicole Sochacki-Wójcicka , Michał Lipa , Jakub Wójcicki

Viewing the trajectory of a patient as a dynamical system, a recurrent neural network was developed to learn the course of patient encounters in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) of a major tertiary care center. Data extracted from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 M Aczon , D Ledbetter , L Ho , A Gunny , A Flynn , J Williams , R Wetzel

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

This paper considers the problem of forecasting mortality rates. A large number of models have already been proposed for this task, but they generally have the disadvantage of either estimating the model in a two-step process, possibly…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-26 Patrik Andersson , Mathias Lindholm

This study proposes a nonhomogeneous birth--death model which captures the dynamics of a directly transmitted infectious disease. Our model accounts for an important aspect of observed epidemic data in which only symptomatic infecteds are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-09 Jan van den Broek , Hiroshi Nishiura

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

Civil registration vital statistics (CRVS) data are used to produce national estimates of maternal mortality, but are often subject to substantial reporting errors due to misclassification of maternal deaths. The accuracy of CRVS systems…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Emily Peterson , Doris Chou , Ann-Beth Moller , Alison Gemmill , Lale Say , Leontine Alkema

ICU mortality scoring systems attempt to predict patient mortality using predictive models with various clinical predictors. Examples of such systems are APACHE, SAPS and MPM. However, most such scoring systems do not actively look for and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-25 Chee Chun Gan , Gerard Learmonth