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We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

In this paper, we consider the problem of developing predictive models with limited data for energy assets such as electricity loads, PV power generations, etc. We specifically investigate the cases where the amount of historical data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Ali Hooshmand , Ratnesh Sharma

This paper presents a methodology for strategic day-ahead planning that uses a combination of deep learning and optimization. A noise-driven recurrent neural network structure is proposed for forecasting electricity prices and local inflow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Martin Biel

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

The ability to predict traffic flow over time for crowded areas during rush hours is increasingly important as it can help authorities make informed decisions for congestion mitigation or scheduling of infrastructure development in an area.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Zann Koh , Yan Qin , Yong Liang Guan , Chau Yuen

Accurate workload forecasting is critical for efficient resource management in cloud computing systems, enabling effective scheduling and autoscaling. Despite recent advances with transformer-based forecasting models, challenges remain due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Shiyu Wang , Zhixuan Chu , Yinbo Sun , Yu Liu , Yuliang Guo , Yang Chen , Huiyang Jian , Lintao Ma , Xingyu Lu , Jun Zhou

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) with rich feature vectors of past values can provide accurate point forecasts for series that exhibit complex serial dependence. We propose two approaches to constructing deep time series probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David J. Nott

This paper presents a machine learning approach to model the electric consumption of electric vehicles at macroscopic level, i.e., in the absence of a speed profile, while preserving microscopic level accuracy. For this work, we leveraged a…

In this study, we delve into the realm of meta-learning to combine point base forecasts for probabilistic short-term electricity demand forecasting. Our approach encompasses the utilization of quantile linear regression, quantile regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Grzegorz Dudek

Due to the vast electric vehicle (EV) penetration to distribution grid, charging load forecasting is essential to promote charging station operation and demand-side management.However, the stochastic charging behaviors and associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Siyang Li , Hui Xiong , Yize Chen

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

This paper presents a data-driven method for producing annual continuous dynamic rating of power transformers to serve the long-term planning purpose. Historically, research works on dynamic rating have been focused on real-time/near-future…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Ming Dong

Because of the fast advance rate and the improved personnel safety, tunnel boring machines (TBMs) have been widely used in a variety of tunnel construction projects. The dynamic modeling of TBM load parameters (including torque, advance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Xianjie Gao , Xueguan Song , Maolin Shi , Chao Zhang , Hongwei Zhang

The rapid growth of EVs and the subsequent increase in charging demand pose significant challenges for load grid scheduling and the operation of EV charging stations. Effectively harnessing the spatiotemporal correlations among EV charging…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Hang Fan , Mingxuan Li , Jingshi Cui , Zuhan Zhang , Wencai Run , Dunnan Liu

Traffic flow characteristics are one of the most critical decision-making and traffic policing factors in a region. Awareness of the predicted status of the traffic flow has prime importance in traffic management and traffic information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mehrdad Farahani , Marzieh Farahani , Mohammad Manthouri , Okyay Kaynak

In this paper, the performance of three deep learning methods for predicting short-term evolution and for reproducing the long-term statistics of a multi-scale spatio-temporal Lorenz 96 system is examined. The methods are: echo state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Devika Subramanian

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

Electrical utilities depend on short-term demand forecasting to proactively adjust production and distribution in anticipation of major variations. This systematic review analyzes 240 works published in scholarly journals between 2000 and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Ali Bou Nassif , Bassel Soudan , Mohammad Azzeh , Imtinan Attilli , Omar AlMulla