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In this work, we propose an algorithm performing short-term predictions of the flux of vehicles on a stretch of road, using past measurements of the flux. This algorithm is based on a physics-aware recurrent neural network. A discretization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Mike Pereira , Annika Lang , Balázs Kulcsár

Hourly consumption from multiple providers displays pronounced intra-day, intra-week, and annual seasonalities, as well as strong cross-sectional correlations. We introduce a novel approach for forecasting high-dimensional U.S. electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mattia Banin , Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

Currently the UK Electric market is guided by load (demand) forecasts published every thirty minutes by the regulator. A key factor in predicting demand is weather conditions, with forecasts published every hour. We present HYENA: a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Maria Eleni Athanasopoulou , Justina Deveikyte , Alan Mosca , Ilaria Peri , Alessandro Provetti

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

Last-mile carriers increasingly incorporate electric vehicles (EVs) into their delivery fleet to achieve sustainability goals. This goal presents many challenges across multiple planning spaces including but not limited to how to plan EV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 André Snoeck , Aniruddha Bhargava , Daniel Merchan , Josiah Davis , Julian Pachon

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer architecture, is used for short-term solar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Ankan Basu , Jyotiraditya Roy , Aditya Datta , Prayas Sanyal , Sumanta Banerjee

In this paper we propose a framework for automated forecasting of energy-related time series using open access data from European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E). The framework provides forecasts for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-17 Gergo Barta , Gabor Nagy , Gabor Simon , Gyozo Papp

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Runyao Yu , Derek W. Bunn , Julia Lin , Jochen Stiasny , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Yuchen Tao , Lianlian Qi , Yujie Chen , Wentao Wang , Jochen L. Cremer

Accurate probabilistic load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the safety and stability of power systems. However, the mainstream approach, multi-step prediction, is hindered by cumulative errors and forecasting lags, which limits its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Han Guo , Ding Lin

This paper gives an overview on how to develop a dense and deep neural network for making a time series prediction. First, the history and cornerstones in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning will be presented. After a short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Bojan Lukić

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

Recent research shows large-scale AI-centric data centers could experience rapid fluctuations in power demand due to varying computation loads, such as sudden spikes from inference or interruption of training large language models (LLMs).…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Mariam Mughees , Yuzhuo Li , Yize Chen , Yunwei Ryan Li

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Short-term water demand forecasting (StWDF) is the foundation stone in the derivation of an optimal plan for controlling water supply systems. Deep learning (DL) approaches provide the most accurate solutions for this purpose. However, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Wei He

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Slawek Smyl , Boris N. Oreshkin , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

Energy time-series analysis describes the process of analyzing past energy observations and possibly external factors so as to predict the future. Different tasks are involved in the general field of energy time-series analysis and…

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin
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