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Neural networks are a commonly used approach to replace physical models with computationally cheap surrogates. Parametric uncertainty quantification can be included in training, assuming that an accurate prior distribution of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Heikki Haario , Zhi-Song Liu , Martin Simon , Hendrik Weichel

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has proven to be an effective variance-reduction statistical method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in Partial Differential Equation (PDE) models, combining model computations at different levels…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Santiago Badia , Jerrad Hampton , Javier Principe

Performance variability management is an active research area in high-performance computing (HPC). We focus on input/output (I/O) variability. To study the performance variability, computer scientists often use grid-based designs (GBDs) to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-25 Yueyao Wang , Li Xu , Yili Hong , Rong Pan , Tyler Chang , Thomas Lux , Jon Bernard , Layne Watson , Kirk Cameron

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Multi-party computation (MPC) is promising for designing privacy-preserving machine learning algorithms at edge networks. An emerging approach is coded-MPC (CMPC), which advocates the use of coded computation to improve the performance of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Elahe Vedadi , Yasaman Keshtkarjahromi , Hulya Seferoglu

This paper presents an uncertainty compensation-based robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems with both matched and unmatched nonlinear uncertainties subject to both state and input constraints. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-27 Ran Tao , Pan Zhao , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Naira Hovakimyan

Cognitive diagnosis models have been widely used in different areas, especially intelligent education, to measure users' proficiency levels on knowledge concepts, based on which users can get personalized instructions. As the measurement is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Fei Wang , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen , Chuanren Liu , Zhenya Huang , Jinze Wu , Shijin Wang

In engineering, simulations play a vital role in predicting the behavior of a nonlinear dynamical system. In order to enhance the reliability of predictions, it is essential to incorporate the inherent uncertainties that are present in all…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Lars de Jong , Paula Clasen , Michael Müller , Ulrich Römer

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for the deployment of image restoration models in safety-critical domains, like autonomous driving and biological imaging. To date, methods for uncertainty visualization have mainly focused on per-pixel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Elias Nehme , Omer Yair , Tomer Michaeli

Scientific computing has long relied on double precision (64-bit floating point) arithmetic to guarantee accuracy in simulations of real-world phenomena. However, the growing availability of hardware accelerators such as Graphics Processing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Massimo Solinas , Agnes Valenti , Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Roeland Wiersema

In this work, we revisit the use of the virtual density method to model uniform geometrical perturbations. We propose a general algorithm in order to estimate explicitly the effect of geometrical perturbations in continuous-energy Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-05 Théophile Bonnet , Anuj Dubey , Eugene Shwageraus

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a computationally demanding control technique that allows dealing with multiple-input and multiple-output systems, while handling constraints in a systematic way. The necessity of solving an optimization…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Bulat Khusainov , Eric C. Kerrigan , George A. Constantinides

A family of semi-intrusive uncertainty propagation (UP) methods for multiscale models is introduced. The methods are semi-intrusive in the sense that inspection of the model is limited up to the level of the single scale systems, and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-03 Anna Nikishova , Alfons G. Hoekstra

Computer models are widely used in decision support for energy systems operation, planning and policy. A system of models is often employed, where model inputs themselves arise from other computer models, with each model being developed by…

Multidimensional data is often associated with uncertainties that are not well-described by normal distributions. In this work, we describe how such distributions can be projected to a low-dimensional space using uncertainty-aware principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-15 Daniel Klötzl , Ozan Tastekin , David Hägele , Marina Evers , Daniel Weiskopf

Performance variability is an important measure for a reliable high performance computing (HPC) system. Performance variability is affected by complicated interactions between numerous factors, such as CPU frequency, the number of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Li Xu , Thomas Lux , Tyler Chang , Bo Li , Yili Hong , Layne Watson , Ali Butt , Danfeng Yao , Kirk Cameron

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich