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This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

This paper presents a new approach to solve linear and nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) problems that requires small memory footprint and throughput and is particularly suitable when the model and/or controller parameters change at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-25 Nilay Saraf , Alberto Bemporad

The work presented here investigates the application of polynomial chaos expansion toward input shaper design in order to maintain robustness in dynamical systems subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, this work intends to specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Johannes Güttler , Karan Baker , Premjit Saha , James Warner , Adrian Stein

This paper presents a robust adaptive learning Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for linear systems with parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances performing iterative tasks. The approach refines the parameter estimates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Hannes Petrenz , Johannes Köhler , Francesco Borrelli

Probability theory has become the predominant framework for quantifying uncertainty across scientific and engineering disciplines, with a particular focus on measurement and control systems. However, the widespread reliance on simple…

Model predictive control (MPC) provides a useful means for controlling systems with constraints, but suffers from the computational burden of repeatedly solving an optimization problem in real time. Offline (explicit) solutions for MPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-14 Daniel Tabas , Baosen Zhang

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

The examination of uncertainty in the predictions of machine learning (ML) models is receiving increasing attention. One uncertainty modeling technique used for this purpose is Monte-Carlo (MC)-Dropout, where repeated predictions are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Florian Heidecker , Ahmad El-Khateeb , Bernhard Sick

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Uncertainty quantification based on generalized polynomial chaos has been used in many applications. It has also achieved great success in variation-aware design automation. However, almost all existing techniques assume that the parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

Cycle-accurate software simulation of multicores with complex microarchitectures is often excruciatingly slow. People use simplified core models to gain simulation speed. However, a persistent question is to what extent the results derived…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Sizhuo Zhang , Andrew Wright , Daniel Sanchez , Arvind

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

This paper introduces an uncertainty compensation-based robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems with nonlinear time-varying uncertainties. The framework integrates an L1 adaptive controller to compensate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Ran Tao , Pan Zhao , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Naira Hovakimyan

In this paper, we present a robust and adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for uncertain nonlinear systems affected by bounded disturbances and unmodeled nonlinearities. We use Gaussian Processes (GPs) to learn the uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Mathieu Dubied , Amon Lahr , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) for dynamic systems whose nonlinearity and uncertainty are modelled by deep neural networks (NNs), under input and state constraints. Since the NN output contains a high-order complex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Jianglin Lan

Accurate modeling of contamination in subsurface flow and water aquifers is crucial for agriculture and environmental protection. Here, we demonstrate a parallel method to quantify the propagation of the uncertainty in the dispersal of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum , David Keyes