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Measles is considered as a highly contagious disease that leads to serious complications around the world. Thus, the paper determined the trend and the five-year forecasted data of the Measles in the Philippines. This study utilized the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Hidear Talirongan , Markdy Y. Orong , Florence Jean B. Talirongan

The Influenza type A virus can be considered as one of the most severe viruses that can infect multiple species with often fatal consequences to the hosts. The Haemagglutinin (HA) gene of the virus has the potential to be a target for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-16 Charalambos Chrysostomou , Harris Partaourides , Huseyin Seker

Tracking Twitter for public health has shown great potential. However, most recent work has been focused on correlating Twitter messages to influenza rates, a disease that exhibits a marked seasonal pattern. In the presence of sudden…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-08 Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Avaré Stewart , Edward Velasco , Kerstin Denecke , Wolfgang Nejdl

Sequences have become first class citizens in supervised learning thanks to the resurgence of recurrent neural networks. Many complex tasks that require mapping from or to a sequence of observations can now be formulated with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-25 Oriol Vinyals , Samy Bengio , Manjunath Kudlur

We consider the problem of detecting an epidemic in a population where individual diagnoses are extremely noisy. The motivation for this problem is the plethora of examples (influenza strains in humans, or computer viruses in smartphones,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-07 Eli A. Meirom , Chris Milling , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor , Ariel Orda , Sanjay Shakkottai

Influenza has been circulating in the human population and has caused three pandemics in the last century (1918 H1N1, 1957 H2N2, 1968 H3N2). The 2009 A(H1N1) was classified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the fourth pandemic.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-01 Jiankui He , Michael W. Deem

In this work, we aim to determine the main factors driving behavioral change during the seasonal flu. To this end, we analyze a unique dataset comprised of 599 surveys completed by 434 Italian users of Influweb, a Web platform for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-01 Nicolò Gozzi , Daniela Perrotta , Daniela Paolotti , Nicola Perra

Each year, seasonal influenza epidemics cause hundreds of thousands of deaths worldwide and put high loads on health care systems. A main concern for resource planning is the risk of exceptionally severe epidemics. Taking advantage of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-29 Maud Thomas , Holger Rootzén

Using non-linear machine learning methods and a proper backtest procedure, we critically examine the claim that Google Trends can predict future price returns. We first review the many potential biases that may influence backtests with this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-10 Damien Challet , Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed

Self-supervision may boost model performance in downstream tasks. However, there is no principled way of selecting the self-supervised objectives that yield the most adaptable models. Here, we study this problem on daily time-series data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Piyusha Gade , Raghu Kainkaryam , Filip Jankovic , Luca Foschini

In observational surveys, post-stratification is used to reduce bias resulting from differences between the survey population and the population under investigation. However, this can lead to inflated post-stratification weights and,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-24 Yannick Vandendijck , Christel Faes , Niel Hens

Influenza A is responsible for 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths a year, though this estimate is an improvement from years past due to improvements in sanitation, healthcare practices, and vaccination programs. In this study, we perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Edmund F. Agyemang , Hansapani Rodrigo , Vincent Agbenyeavu

Detecting and preventing outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases such as Dengue and Zika in Brasil and other tropical regions has long been a priority for governments in affected areas. Streaming social media content, such as Twitter, is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Paolo Missier , Alexander Romanovsky , Tudor Miu , Atinder Pal , Michael Daniilakis , Alessandro Garcia , Diego Cedrim , Leonardo da Silva Sousa

The annual influenza outbreak leads to significant public health and economic burdens making it desirable to have prompt and accurate probabilistic forecasts of the disease spread. The United States Centers for Disease Control and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-29 Spencer Wadsworth , Jarad Niemi

The estimation from available data of parameters governing epidemics is a major challenge. In addition to usual issues (data often incomplete and noisy), epidemics of the same nature may be observed in several places or over different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Romain Narci , Maud Delattre , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

A sequence-to-sequence model is a neural network module for mapping two sequences of different lengths. The sequence-to-sequence model has three core modules: encoder, decoder, and attention. Attention is the bridge that connects the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Andros Tjandra , Sakriani Sakti , Satoshi Nakamura

The Influenza virus can be considered as one of the most severe viruses that can infect multiple species with often fatal consequences to the hosts. The Hemagglutinin (HA) gene of the virus can be a target for antiviral drug development…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-11 Charalambos Chrysostomou , Floris Alexandrou , Mihalis A. Nicolaou , Huseyin Seker

Recently, there has been growing interest in collecting reasoning-intensive pretraining data to improve LLMs' complex reasoning ability. Prior approaches typically rely on supervised classifiers to identify such data, which requires…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Kai Hua , Steven Wu , Ge Zhang , Ke Shen

Online sequence prediction is the problem of predicting the next element of a sequence given previous elements. This problem has been extensively studied in the context of individual sequence prediction, where no prior assumptions are made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Elad Eban , Aharon Birnbaum , Shai Shalev-Shwartz , Amir Globerson

We propose here an extended attention model for sequence-to-sequence recurrent neural networks (RNNs) designed to capture (pseudo-)periods in time series. This extended attention model can be deployed on top of any RNN and is shown to yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Yagmur G. Cinar , Hamid Mirisaee , Parantapa Goswami , Eric Gaussier , Ali Ait-Bachir , Vadim Strijov
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