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Related papers: Solar cycle prediction

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The flux transport dynamo, in which the poloidal magnetic field is generated by the Babcock--Leighton mechanism and the meridional circulation plays a crucial role, has emerged as an attractive model for the solar cycle. Based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

The 11-year solar cycle is the dominant pattern of solar activity reflecting the oscillatory dynamo mechanism in the Sun. Solar cycles were directly observed since 1700, while indirect proxies suggest their existence over a much longer…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-30 I. G. Usoskin , S. K. Solanki , N. Krivova , B. Hofer , G. A. Kovaltsov , L. Wacker , N. Brehm , B. Kromer

The evolution of the solar activity comprises, apart from the well-known 11-year cycle, various temporal scales ranging from months up to the secondary cycles known as mid-term oscillations. Its nature deserves a physical explanation. In…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-04 D. D. Sokoloff , A. S. Shibalova , V. N. Obridko , V. V. Pipin

This work investigates the solar quasi-periodic cycles with multi-timescales and the possible relationships with planetary motions. The solar cycles are derived from long-term observations of the relative sunspot number and microwave…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-16 Baolin Tan , Zhuo Cheng

Prediction of the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events garner increasing interest as space missions extend beyond Earth's protective magnetosphere. These events, which are, in most cases, products of magnetic reconnection-driven processes…

Theoretical models for the solar dynamo range from simple low-dimensional ``toy models'' to complex 3D-MHD simulations. Here we mainly discuss appproaches that are motivated and guided by solar (and stellar) observations. We give a brief…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-04 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schüssler

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

Further development of the work of Obridko et al. [1] based on recent data confirms the assumption that the 25th cycle of solar activity is a medium-low cycle. Its height is expected to be $125.2\pm5.6$, and the expected date of the maximum…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-13 V. N. Obridko , D. D. Sokoloff , M. M. Katsova

After reviewing potential early indicators of an upcoming solar cycle at high latitudes, we focus attention on the rush-to-the-poles (RTTP) phenomenon in coronal green line emission. Considering various correlations between properties of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-18 K. Petrovay , M. Nagy , T. Gerják , L. Juhász

Disturbances in space weather can negatively affect several fields, including aviation and aerospace, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are the most…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-07 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

The theory of the solar/stellar activity cycles is presented, based on the mean-field concept in magnetohydrodynamics. A new approach to the formulation of the electromotive force and the theory of differential rotation and meridional…

Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-22 Günther Rüdiger , Rainer Arlt

In this work we predict the maximum amplitude, its time of occurrence, and the total length of Solar Cycle 24 by linear regression to the curvature (second derivative) at the preceding minimum of a smoothed version of the sunspots time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 L. C. Uzal , R. D. Piacentini , P. F. Verdes

The magnetic activity of the Sun, as manifested in the sunspot cycle, originates deep within its convection zone through a dynamo mechanism which involves non-trivial interactions between the plasma and magnetic field in the solar interior.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Dibyendu Nandy

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

The application of the Wavelet analysis and Fourier analysis to the dataset of variations of radiation fluxes of solar-like stars and the Sun is examined. In case of the Sun the wavelet-analysis helped us to see a set of values of periods…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-04-06 E. A. Bruevich , I. K. Rozgacheva

The ongoing 11-year cycle of solar activity is considerably less vigorous than the three cycles before. It was preceded by a very deep activity minimum with a low polar magnetic flux, the source of the toroidal field responsible for solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Jie Jiang , Robert H. Cameron , Manfred Schuessler

The possibilities of organizing an observation service for solar activity in order to provide space weather forecasting are considered. The most promising at this stage is the creation of a ground-based observation network. Such a network…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-06 A. G. Tlatov , A. A. Pevtsov

The pattern of migrating zonal flow bands associated with the solar cycle, known as the torsional oscillation, has been monitored with continuous global helioseismic observations by the Global Oscillations Network Group, together with those…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-01 R. Howe , F. Hill , R. Komm , W. J. Chaplin , Y. Elsworth , G. R. Davies , J. Schou , M. J. Thompson

We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar magnetic field and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 N. Gopalswamy , P. Makela , S. Yashiro , S. Akiyama

The diagram of indices of coronal and chromospheric activity allowed us to reveal stars where solar-type activity appears and regular cycles are forming. Using new consideration of a relation between coronal activity and the rotation rate,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 M. M. Katsova , N. I. Bondar' , M. A. Livshits