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This paper investigates the investment problem of constructing an optimal no-short sequential portfolio strategy in a market with a latent dependence structure between asset prices and partly unobservable side information, which is often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Duy Khanh Lam

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

Although modern portfolio theory has been in existence for over 60 years, fund managers often struggle to get its models to produce reliable portfolio allocations without strongly constraining the decision vector by tight bands of strategic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-15 Thomas Schmelzer , Raphael Hauser

We attempt to mitigate the persistent tradeoff between risk and return in medium- to long-term portfolio management. This paper proposes a novel LLM-guided no-regret portfolio allocation framework that integrates online learning dynamics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Muhammad Abro , Hassan Jaleel

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

This paper studies deep learning methodologies for portfolio optimization in the US equities market. We present a novel residual switching network that can automatically sense changes in market regimes and switch between momentum and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Jifei Wang , Lingjing Wang

Networks are models representing relationships between entities. Often these relationships are explicitly given, or we must learn a representation which generalizes and predicts observed behavior in underlying individual data (e.g.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Ivan Brugere , Chris Kanich , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

This work aims to deal with the optimal allocation instability problem of Markowitz's modern portfolio theory in high dimensionality. We propose a combined strategy that considers covariance matrix estimators from Random Matrix Theory~(RMT)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García-Medina , Benito Rodriguéz-Camejo

Robust and reliable covariance estimates play a decisive role in financial and many other applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here, we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Daniel Bartz , Kerr Hatrick , Christian W. Hesse , Klaus-Robert Müller , Steven Lemm

The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-28 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

This work studies how to preemptively increase the resilience of a network by means of time-varying topological actuation. To do this, we focus on linear dynamical systems that are compatible with a given network, and consider policies that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Fei Chen , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

Multilayer networks proved to be suitable in extracting and providing dependency information of different complex systems. The construction of these networks is difficult and is mostly done with a static approach, neglecting time delayed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Giuseppe Brandi , T. Di Matteo

We aim to cluster financial assets in order to identify a small set of stocks to approximate the level of diversification of the whole universe of stocks. We develop a data-driven approach to clustering based on a correlation blockmodel in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-16 Wenpin Tang , Xiao Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multi-period settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Yutong Lu , Gesine Reinert , Mihai Cucuringu

Network structure is growing popular for capturing the intrinsic relationship between large-scale variables. In the paper we propose to improve the estimation accuracy for large-dimensional factor model when a network structure between…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang , Ji Zhu

In this paper, we consider the resource allocation problem in a network with a large number of connections which are used by a huge number of users. The resource allocation problem under discussion is a maximization problem with linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Anastasiya Ivanova , Dmitry Pasechnyuk , Pavel Dvurechensky , Alexander Gasnikov , Evgeniya Vorontsova

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo