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Related papers: Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA)

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Integrating heterogeneous data sources and expert knowledge is essential for overcoming data scarcity and enhancing estimation accuracy. Two main frameworks naturally arise to perform the integration of these multiple sources: sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Mario Figueira , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Håvard Rue

The linearised Laplace method for estimating model uncertainty has received renewed attention in the Bayesian deep learning community. The method provides reliable error bars and admits a closed-form expression for the model evidence,…

Laplace's method, a family of asymptotic methods used to approximate integrals, is presented as a potential candidate for the tool box of techniques used for knowledge acquisition and probabilistic inference in belief networks with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Adriano Azevedo-Filho , Ross D. Shachter

Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are flexible probabilistic non-parametric function models. Vecchia approximations are accurate approximations for GPs to overcome computational bottlenecks for large data, and the Laplace approximation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

To support mechanism online learning and facilitate digital twin development for biomanufacturing processes, this paper develops an efficient Bayesian inference approach for partially observed enzymatic stochastic reaction network (SRN), a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Wandi Xu , Wei Xie

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Marc Box

Under the classical long-span asymptotic framework we develop a class of Generalized Laplace (GL) inference methods for the change-point dates in a linear time series regression model with multiple structural changes analyzed in, e.g., Bai…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

This paper presents a new accelerated proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems with an underlying convex geometry. The proposed strategy takes the form of a stochastic relaxed…

Astronomical observations of extended sources, such as cubes of integral field spectroscopy (IFS), encode auto-correlated spatial structures that cannot be optimally exploited by standard methodologies. This work introduces a novel…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-01 S. González-Gaitán , R. S. de Souza , A. Krone-Martins , E. Cameron , P. Coelho , L. Galbany , E. E. O. Ishida

We present a significant advancement in the field of Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) methods by introducing the Inexact Proximal Langevin Algorithm (IPLA). This novel algorithm broadens the scope of problems that LMC can effectively address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-16 Matej Benko , Iwona Chlebicka , Jørgen Endal , Błażej Miasojedow

In ecology we may find scenarios where the same phenomenon (species occurrence, species abundance, etc.) is observed using two different types of samplers. For instance, species data can be collected from scientific sampling with a…

Generalized linear latent variable models (GLLVMs) are a class of methods for analyzing multi-response data which has garnered considerable popularity in recent years, for example, in the analysis of multivariate abundance data in ecology.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Pekka Korhonen , Francis K. C. Hui , Jenni Niku , Sara Taskinen

In this paper we introduce five different algorithms based on method of moments, maximum likelihood and full Bayesian estimation for learning the parameters of the Inverse Gamma distribution. We also provide an expression for the KL…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-11 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann

We propose the application of iterative regularization for the development of ensemble methods for solving Bayesian inverse problems. In concrete, we construct (i) a variational iterative regularizing ensemble Levenberg-Marquardt method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-25 Marco A. Iglesias

Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-01 Jaakko Riihimäki , Aki Vehtari

This paper introduces an Interpretable Neural Network (INN) incorporating spatial information to tackle the opaque parameterization process of random weighted neural networks. The INN leverages spatial information to elucidate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Jing Nan , Wei Dai

We develop a stochastic modeling approach based on spatial point processes of log-Gaussian Cox type for a collection of around 5000 landslide events provoked by a precipitation trigger in Sicily, Italy. Through the embedding into a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-11 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Raphael Huser

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

The expressive power of a Gaussian process (GP) model comes at a cost of poor scalability in the data size. To improve its scalability, this paper presents a low-rank-cum-Markov approximation (LMA) of the GP model that is novel in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-18 Kian Hsiang Low , Jiangbo Yu , Jie Chen , Patrick Jaillet