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Graph processes that unfold in continuous time are of obvious theoretical and practical interest. Particularly useful are those whose long-term behavior converges to a graph distribution of known form. Here, we review some of the conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Carter T. Butts

Two crucial elements facilitate the understanding and control of communicable disease spread within a social setting. These components are, the underlying contact structure among individuals that determines the pattern of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Pierre-Andre Noel , Bahman Davoudi , Louis J. Dube , Robert C. Brunham , Babak Pourbohloul

Learning interpretable representations of neural dynamics at a population level is a crucial first step to understanding how observed neural activity relates to perception and behavior. Models of neural dynamics often focus on either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Noga Mudrik , Yenho Chen , Eva Yezerets , Christopher J. Rozell , Adam S. Charles

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

Network properties govern the rate and extent of various spreading processes, from simple contagions to complex cascades. Recently, the analysis of spreading processes has been extended from static networks to temporal networks, where nodes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-18 Eun Lee , Scott Emmons , Ryan Gibson , James Moody , Peter J. Mucha

Reproducibility of a deep-learning fully convolutional neural network is evaluated by training several times the same network on identical conditions (database, hyperparameters, hardware) with non-deterministic Graphics Processings Unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Wagner Gonçalves Pinto , Antonio Alguacil , Michaël Bauerheim

We show that qualitatively different epidemic-like processes from distinct societal domains (finance, social and commercial blockbusters, epidemiology) can be quantitatively understood using the same unifying conceptual framework taking…

Scaling limits for continuous-time branching processes with discrete state space are provided as the initial state tends to infinity. Depending on the finiteness or non-finiteness of the mean and/or the variance of the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Martin Möhle , Benedict Vetter

We characterize a comprehensive family of $d$-variate exogenous shock models. Analytically, we consider a family of multivariate distribution functions that arises from ordering, idiosyncratically distorting, and finally multiplying the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Jan-Frederik Mai , Steffen Schenk , Matthias Scherer

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

Using a population dynamics inspired by an ensemble of growing cells, a set of fluctuation theorems linking observables measured at the lineage and population levels are derived. One of these relations implies specific inequalities…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 Reinaldo García-García , Arthur Genthon , David Lacoste

We study a class of growth algorithms for directed graphs that are candidate models for the evolution of genetic regulatory networks. The algorithms involve partial duplication of nodes and their links, together with innovation of new…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 D. V. Foster , S. A. Kauffman , J. E. S. Socolar

Forecasting the change in the distribution of viral variants is crucial for therapeutic design and disease surveillance. This task poses significant modeling challenges due to the sharp differences in virus distributions across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Wenxian Shi , Menghua Wu , Regina Barzilay

We consider a continuous-time branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ in a random non homogeneous environment. Particles can walk on the lattice points or disappear with random intensities. The process starts with one particle at initial time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Vladimir Kutsenko , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

Forward-time models of diversification (i.e., speciation and extinction) produce phylogenetic trees that grow "vertically" as time goes by. Pruning the extinct lineages out of such trees leads to natural models for reconstructed trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-07 Amaury Lambert , Tanja Stadler

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra

Easy access and vast amount of data, especially from long period of time, allows to divide social network into timeframes and create temporal social network. Such network enables to analyse its dynamics. One aspect of the dynamics is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-22 Piotr Bródka , Stanisław Saganowski , Przemysław Kazienko

We consider a Galton-Watson process $\mathbf{Z}% (n)=(Z_{1}(n),Z_{2}(n))$ with two types of particles. Particles of type 2 may produce offspring of both types while particles of type 1 may produce particles of their own type only. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Power law distributions have been repeatedly observed in a wide variety of socioeconomic, biological and technological areas. In many of the observations, e.g., city populations and sizes of living organisms, the objects of interest evolve…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Jian Tan