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This paper proposes a method for modeling event sequences with ambiguous timestamps, a time-discounting convolution. Unlike in ordinary time series, time intervals are not constant, small time-shifts have no significant effect, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Takayuki Katsuki , Takayuki Osogami , Akira Koseki , Masaki Ono , Michiharu Kudo , Masaki Makino , Atsushi Suzuki

A common theme among the proposed models for network epidemics is the assumption that the propagating object, i.e., a virus or a piece of information, is transferred across the nodes without going through any modification or evolution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-05 Rashad Eletreby , Yong Zhuang , Kathleen M. Carley , Osman Yağan , H. Vincent Poor

This paper deals with branching processes in varying environment, namely, whose offspring distributions depend on the generations. We provide sufficient conditions for survival or extinction which rely only on the first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Daniela Bertacchi , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Fabio Zucca

We call a random point measure infinitely ramified if for every $n\in \mathbb N$, it has the same distribution as the $n$-th generation of some branching random walk. On the other hand, branching L\'evy processes model the evolution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

Under a markovian evolutionary process, the expected number of substitutions per site (also called branch length) that have occurred when a sequence has evolved from another according to a transition matrix $P$ can be approximated by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-16 Marta Casanellas , Anna Kedzierska

The evolution of dispersal rate is studied with a model of several local populations linked by dispersal. Three dispersal strategies are considered where all, half, or none of the offspring disperse. The spatial scale (number of patches)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-12 Emmanuel Paradis

We study a two-species competition model in a patchy advective environment, where the species are subject to both directional drift and undirectional random dispersal between patches and there are losses of individuals in the downstream end…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Shanshan Chen , Junping Shi , Zhisheng Shuai , Yixiang Wu

We study the spread of information on multi-type directed random graphs. In such graphs the vertices are partitioned into distinct types (communities) that have different transmission rates between themselves and with other types. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-21 Yaron Oz , Ittai Rubinstein , Muli Safra

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

The emergence of collective dynamics in neural networks is a mechanism of the animal and human brain for information processing. In this paper, we develop a computational technique using distributed processing elements in a complex network,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Filipe Alves Neto Verri , Paulo Roberto Urio , Liang Zhao

We propose a novel approach to disentangle the generative factors of variation underlying a given set of observations. Our method builds upon the idea that the (unknown) low-dimensional manifold underlying the data space can be explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Marco Fumero , Luca Cosmo , Simone Melzi , Emanuele Rodolà

Recently proposed budding tree is a decision tree algorithm in which every node is part internal node and part leaf. This allows representing every decision tree in a continuous parameter space, and therefore a budding tree can be jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-22 Ozan İrsoy , Ethem Alpaydın

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

A model for the spreading of online information or "memes" on multiplex networks is introduced and analyzed using branching-process methods. The model generalizes that of [Gleeson et al., Phys.Rev. X., 2016] in two ways. First, even for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-01 Joseph D. O'Brien , Ioannis K. Dassios , James P. Gleeson

The deluge of digital information in our daily life -- from user-generated content, such as microblogs and scientific papers, to online business, such as viral marketing and advertising -- offers unprecedented opportunities to explore and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Fan Zhou , Xovee Xu , Goce Trajcevski , Kunpeng Zhang