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In this work, we propose a model-agnostic instance-based post-hoc explainability method for time series classification. The proposed algorithm, namely Time-CF, leverages shapelets and TimeGAN to provide counterfactual explanations for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Qi Huang , Wei Chen , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

This article is devoted to some time-changed stochastic models based on multivariate stable processes. The considered models have several advantages in comparison with classical time-changed Brownian motions - for instance, it turns out…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 V. Panov , E. Samarin

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

Temporal alignment of multiple signals through time warping is crucial in many fields, such as classification within speech recognition or robot motion learning. Almost all related works are limited to data in Euclidean space. Although an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Julian Richter , Christopher A. Erdös , Christian Scheurer , Jochen J. Steil , Niels Dehio

This work investigates the effects of time-varying media, where optical properties change over time, on electromagnetic wave propagation, focusing on plane waves and free-electron evanescent waves. We introduce a switching parameter,…

Recent work has shown that models flow matching models can be trained without explicit time conditioning, challenging the standard view that the interpolation time is needed to disambiguate velocity targets. But why should a time-blind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Alec Helbling , Sebastian Gutierrez Hernandez , Benjamin Hoover , Duen Horng Chau , Parikshit Ram

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

In this paper the problems of the retrospective analysis of models with time-varying structure are considered. These models include contamination models with randomly switching parameters and multivariate classification models with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

In this paper we reformulate the problem of pricing options in a quantum setting. Our proposed algorithm involves preparing an initial state, representing the option price, and then evolving it using existing imaginary time simulation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-13 Santosh Kumar Radha

We study the problem of deciding whether, and when an organization should replace a trained incumbent model with a challenger relying on newly available features. We develop a unified economic and statistical framework that links…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Vassilis Digalakis , Christophe Pérignon , Sébastien Saurin , Flore Sentenac

Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

Contract scheduling is a general technique that allows to design a system with interruptible capabilities, given an algorithm that is not necessarily interruptible. Previous work on this topic has largely assumed that the interruption is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

Modeling financial markets based on empirical data poses challenges in selecting the most appropriate models. Despite the abundance of empirical data available, researchers often face difficulties in identifying the best-fitting model.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-18 Vygintas Gontis

Specification theories as a tool in model-driven development processes of component-based software systems have recently attracted a considerable attention. Current specification theories are however qualitative in nature, and therefore…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-10-23 Sebastian S. Bauer , Uli Fahrenberg , Line Juhl , Kim G. Larsen , Axel Legay , Claus Thrane

Many psychological experiments have subjects repeat a task to gain the statistical precision required to test quantitative theories of psychological performance. In such experiments, time-on-task can have sizable effects on performance,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-05 David Gunawan , Guy E. Hawkins , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Scott D. Brown

Existing literature on timed opacity uses specific definitions for restricted subclasses of timed automata or limited observation models. This lack of a unified definition makes it difficult to establish formal relationships and compare the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Zhe Zhang , Martijn Goorden , Michel Reniers

In this paper we will develop a methodology for obtaining pricing expressions for financial instruments whose underlying asset can be described through a simple continuous-time random walk (CTRW) market model. Our approach is very natural…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero