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We study the performance of nonparametric Bayes procedures for one-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. We improve existing convergence rate results for Gaussian process (GP) priors with fixed hyper parameters. Moreover, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

Functional data are typically modeled as sample paths of smooth stochastic processes in order to mitigate the fact that they are often observed discretely and noisily, occasionally irregularly and sparsely. The smoothness assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Neda Mohammadi , Victor M. Panaretos

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

In order to characterize the mechanisms governing the diffusion of particles in biological scenarios, it is essential to accurately determine their diffusive properties. To do so, we propose a machine learning method to characterize…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-11-29 Borja Requena , Sergi Masó , Joan Bertran , Maciej Lewenstein , Carlo Manzo , Gorka Muñoz-Gil

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

We present a novel particle management method using the Characteristic Mapping framework. In the context of explicit evolution of parametrized curves and surfaces, the surface distribution of marker points created from sampling the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xi-Yuan Yin , Linan Chen , Jean-Christophe Nave

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

Point processes often have a natural interpretation with respect to a continuous process. We propose a point process construction that describes arrival time observations in terms of the state of a latent diffusion process. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-02 Ali Hasan , Yu Chen , Yuting Ng , Mohamed Abdelghani , Anderson Schneider , Vahid Tarokh

We propose a novel diffusion-based image generation method called the observation-guided diffusion probabilistic model (OGDM), which effectively addresses the tradeoff between quality control and fast sampling. Our approach reestablishes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Junoh Kang , Jinyoung Choi , Sungik Choi , Bohyung Han

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

We consider parametric estimation of the continuous part of a class of ergodic diffusions with jumps based on high-frequency samples. Various papers previously proposed threshold based methods, which enable us to distinguish whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

The controllability of advection-diffusion systems, subject to uncertain initial values and emission rates, is estimated, given sparse and error affected observations of prognostic state variables. In predictive geophysical model systems,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-24 Xueran Wu , Hendrik Elbern , Birgit Jacob

We consider the solution to a stochastic differential equation with a drift function which depends smoothly on some real parameter $\lambda$, and admitting a unique invariant measure for any value of $\lambda$ around $\lambda$ = 0. Our aim…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-07 Roland Assaraf , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Raphaël Roux

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance in generation problems over various domains including images, videos, text, and audio. A practical bottleneck of diffusion models is their sampling speed, due to the repeated evaluation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Taehong Moon , Moonseok Choi , EungGu Yun , Jongmin Yoon , Gayoung Lee , Jaewoong Cho , Juho Lee

Diffusion models have emerged from various theoretical and methodological perspectives, each offering unique insights into their underlying principles. In this work, we provide an overview of the most prominent approaches, drawing attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Solveig Klepper

In this work, we propose a new inference procedure for understanding non-stationary processes, under the framework of evolutionary spectra developed by Priestley. Among various frameworks of modeling non-stationary processes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Yu Xiang , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Miljenko Huzak

We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri