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Related papers: On moderate deviations in Poisson approximation

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Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Poisson-like behavior for event count data is ubiquitous in nature. At the same time, differencing of such counts arises in the course of data processing in a variety of areas of application. As a result, the Skellam distribution -- defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 H. L. Gan , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Samuel Valiquette , Gwladys Toulemonde , Jean Peyhardi , Éric Marchand , Frédéric Mortier

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Xiao Fang , David Siegmund

The term "moderate deviations" is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 David I. Inouye , Eunho Yang , Genevera I. Allen , Pradeep Ravikumar

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

In this paper, we propose a novel robust stochastic optimization approach with a distinctive consideration for rare events, in which divergence measures are used to bound the event-wise ambiguity sets. This is done by using the Poisson…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aakil M. Caunhye , Douglas Alem

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent terms by the accompanying compound Poisson laws may be interpreted as rather sharp quantitative estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 F. William Townes

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

The idea behind Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution was used in [J. de la Cal, F. Luquin, J. Approx. Theory, 68(3), 1992, 322-329] and subsequent papers in order to establish the convergence of suitable sequences of positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Ana-Maria Acu , Margareta Heilmann , Ioan Rasa , Andra Seserman

In this paper we give a historical account of the development of Poisson approximation using Stein's method and present some of the main results. We give two recent applications, one on maximal arithmetic progressions and the other on…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov
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