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Related papers: To each route its own ETA: A generative modeling f…

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By adapting bus routes to users' requests, Demand-Responsive Transit (DRT) can serve low-demand areas more efficiently than conventional fixed-line buses. However, a main barrier to its adoption of DRT is its unpredictability, i.e., it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-20 Pierfrancesco Leonardi , Vincenza Torrisi , Andrea Araldo , Matteo Ignaccolo

Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep…

The expansion of urban centers necessitates enhanced efficiency and sustainability in their transportation infrastructure and mobility systems. The big data obtainable from various transportation modes potentially offers critical insights…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-17 Oluwaleke Yusuf , Adil Rasheed , Frank Lindseth

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Antonios Tziorvas , George S. Theodoropoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

As Public Transport (PT) becomes more dynamic and demand-responsive, it increasingly depends on predictions of transport demand. But how accurate need such predictions be for effective PT operation? We address this question through an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-09 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

Previous methods that predict system-wide travel time, predominantly grounded in graph neural networks, remain limited to typical and recurring demand patterns. While they successfully predict future congestion following daily commute, they…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Łukasz Gorczyca , Kacper Drozd , Michał Bujak , Rafał Kucharski

Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

Electric city bus gains popularity in recent years for its low greenhouse gas emission, low noise level, etc. Different from a passenger car, the weight of a city bus varies significantly with different amounts of onboard passengers. After…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-08 Junzhe Shi , Bin Xu , Xingyu Zhou , Jun Hou

Arrival time prediction (ATP) of public transport vehicles is essential in improving passenger experience and supporting traffic management. Deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in ATP due to its ability to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Zirui Li , Bin Yang , Meng Wang

Given a temporal graph G, a source vertex s, and a departure time at source vertex t_s, the earliest arrival time problem EAT is to start from s on or after t_s and reach all the vertices in G as early as possible. Ni et al. have proposed a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Chirayu Anant Haryan , G. Ramakrishna , Rupesh Nasre , Allam Dinesh Reddy

While benefiting people's daily life in so many ways, smartphones and their location-based services are generating massive mobile device location data that has great potential to help us understand travel demand patterns and make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Chenfeng Xiong , Aref Darzi , Yixuan Pan , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Automatic detection of public transport (PT) usage has important applications for intelligent transport systems. It is crucial for understanding the commuting habits of passengers at large and over longer periods of time. It also enables…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Mikko Rinne , Mehrdad Bagheri , Tuukka Tolvanen

En route travel time estimation (ER-TTE) focuses on predicting the travel time of the remaining route. Existing ER-TTE methods always make re-estimation which significantly hinders real-time performance, especially when faced with the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Zekai Shen , Haitao Yuan , Xiaowei Mao , Congkang Lv , Shengnan Guo , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

Travel time is a fundamental component of accessibility measurement, yet most accessibility analyses rely on static timetable data that assume public transport services operate exactly as scheduled. Such representations overlook the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Zihao Chen , Federico Botta

Bus systems involve complex bus-bus and bus-passengers interactions. We study the problem of assigning buses to bus stops to minimise the average waiting time of passengers, W. An analytical theory for two specific cases of interactions is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-25 Luca Vismara , Lock Yue Chew , Vee-Liem Saw

Accurate arrival time prediction (ATP) of buses and trams plays a crucial role in public transport operations. Current methods focused on modeling one-dimensional temporal information but overlooked the latent periodic information within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zirui Li , Patrick Wolf , Meng Wang

Trajectory generation has recently drawn growing interest in privacy-preserving urban mobility studies and location-based service applications. Although many studies have used deep learning or generative AI methods to model trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Yuanbo Tang , Yan Tang , Zixuan Zhang , Zihui Zhao , Yang Li

Transportation is quickly evolving in the emerging smart city ecosystem with personalized ride sharing services quickly advancing. Yet, the public bus infrastructure has been slow to respond to these trends. With our research, we propose a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Movses Musaelian , Anane Boateng , Md Zakirul Alam Bhuiyan