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Projected changes in summer precipitation deficits partly depend on alterations in synoptic circulations. Here, the automated Jenkinson-Collison (JC) classification is used to assess the ability of twenty-one Global Climate Models (GCMs) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-22 P. Herrera-Lormendez , A. John , H. Douville , J. Matschullat

Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is crucial for hydrometeorological risk management and disaster mitigation, yet remains challenging for current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Traditional ensemble systems such as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Xiong , Haonan Chen

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-31 Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla , Shuai Wang , César Quilodrán-Casas

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Deep learning (DL)-based general circulation models (GCMs) are emerging as fast simulators, yet their ability to replicate extreme events outside their training range remains unknown. Here, we evaluate two such models -- the hybrid Neural…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

The paper presents improved mathematical models and methods for statistical regularities in the behavior of some important characteristics of precipitation: duration of a wet period, maximum daily and total precipitation volumes within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Victor Korolev , Andrey Gorshenin

The Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) has been an important research tool in the study of climate change for decades. As the demand for high-resolution simulation is becoming urgent, the scalability and simulation efficiency is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Hang Cao , Liang Yuan , He Zhang , Yunquan Zhang

In past years, several studies have proposed new methods and applications for urban wind simulations. In this article, we present a fast and automatic methodology for reconstructing airflows within urban environments using LiDAR and…

As climate change drives increased frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation and flooding worldwide, posing escalating threats to public safety and economic assets, accurate and real-time satellite-based precipitation estimation is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 Zijiang Song , Ting Liu , Lina Yuan , Yuying Li , Ao Xu , Xigang Sun , Ye Li , Feng Lu , Min Liu

Most climate trend studies analyze long-term trends as a proxy for climate dynamics. However, when examining seasonal data, it is unrealistic to assume that long-term trends remain consistent across all seasons. Instead, each season likely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaechoul Lee , Mintaek Lee , Thea Sukianto

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Radiative effects of water ice clouds have noteworthy consequences on the Martian atmosphere, its thermal structure and circulation. Accordingly, the inclusion of such effects in the LMD Mars Global Climate Model (GCM) greatly modifies the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-29 Thomas Navarro , Jean-Baptiste Madeleine , François Forget , Aymeric Spiga , Ehouarn Millour , Franck Montmessin

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing significant challenges for power distribution systems. In response, this work presents a planning approach in order to enhance the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Ahmad Bin Afzal , Nabil Mohammed , Shehab Ahmed , Charalambos Konstantinou

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

To study trends in extreme precipitation across US over the years 1951-2017, we consider 10 climate indexes that represent extreme precipitation, such as annual maximum of daily precipitation, annual maximum of consecutive 5-day average…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of the climate and economy aim to analyze the impact and efficacy of policies that aim to control climate change, such as carbon taxes and subsidies. A major characteristic of IAMs is that their…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-20 Yongyang Cai

This work provides two statistical Gaussian forecasting methods for predicting First Daily Departure Times (FDDTs) of everyday use electric vehicles. This is important in smart grid applications to understand disconnection times of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Nicholas H. Kirk , Ilya Dianov

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are the primary tool to simulate climate evolution and assess the impacts of climate change. However, they often operate at a coarse spatial resolution that limits their accuracy in reproducing local-scale…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-04 Jose González-Abad , Álex Hernández-García , Paula Harder , David Rolnick , José Manuel Gutiérrez

Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin , Tom Beucler