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In the present work, a non-linear stochastic model is presented to study the effect of time variation of transmission rates on the co-evolution of epidemics and its corresponding awareness over a two layered multiplex network. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao , Abhijit Sen

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

Power-law (PL) time dependent infection growth has been reported in many COVID-19 statistics. In simple SIR models the number of infections grows at the outbreak as $I(t) \propto t^{d-1}$ on $d$-dimensional Euclidean lattices in the endemic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-06-16 Géza Ódor

Even though transitivity is a central structural feature of social networks, its influence on epidemic spread on coevolving networks has remained relatively unexplored. Here we introduce and study an adaptive SIS epidemic model wherein the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-12 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Nishant Malik , Feng Shi , Peter J. Mucha

We extend the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to a network-based framework where the degree distribution of nodes follows a Poisson distribution. This extension incorporates an additional parameter representing the mean…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Josephine K. Wairimu , Andrew Gothard , Grzegorz A. Rempala

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on small world network. We show the effects of all the parameters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

Networked SIR models have become essential workhorses in the modeling of epidemics, their inception, propagation and control. Here, and building on this venerable tradition, we report on the emergence of a remarkable self-organization of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-16 Sara Najem , Leonid Klushin , Jihad Touma

The basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is extended to include effects of progressive social awareness, lockdowns and anthropogenic migration. It is found that social awareness can effectively contain the spread by lowering the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 R. Bhattacharyya , Partha Konar

In the study of disease spreading on empirical complex networks in SIR model, initially infected nodes can be ranked according to some measure of their epidemic impact. The highest ranked nodes, also referred to as "superspreaders", are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-16 Mile Sikic , Alen Lancic , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Hrvoje Stefancic

We investigate disease spreading on eight empirical data sets of human contacts (mostly proximity networks recording who is close to whom, at what time). We compare three levels of representations of these data sets: temporal networks,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-14 Petter Holme

The outbreaks of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) have impacted the world significantly. Modeling the trend of infection and real-time forecasting of cases can help decision making and control of the disease spread. However, data-driven…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Zhijian Li , Yunling Zheng , Jack Xin , Guofa Zhou

Temporal networks, whose links are activated or deactivated over time, are used to represent complex systems such as social interactions or collaborations occurring at specific times. Such networks facilitate the spread of information and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Tianrui Mao , Shilun Zhang , Alan Hanjalic , Huijuan Wang

A theoretical framework for the description of Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) spreading processes with synergistic transmission of infection on a lattice is developed. The model incorporates explicitly the effects of a time-dependent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-25 Sergei Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic we assisted at a sequence of epidemic waves intertwined by anomalous fade-outs with periods of low but persistent epidemic prevalence. These long-living epidemic states complicate epidemic control and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Beatriz Arregui García , Raúl Toral , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

We examine the age-structured SIR model, a variant of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic propagation, in the context of COVID-19. In doing so, we provide a theoretical basis for the model, perform an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Rohit Parasnis , Ryosuke Kato , Amol Sakhale , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

In this paper, we study how interactions between populations impact epidemic spread. We extend the classical SEIR model to include both integration-based disease transmission simulation and population flow. Our model differs from existing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-02 Lauren Streitmatter , Peter Zhang

We consider the spread of a supercritical stochastic SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemic on a configuration model random graph. We mainly focus on the final stages of a large outbreak and provide limit results for the duration…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Abid Ali Lashari , Ana Serafimović , Pieter Trapman

We study the spreading of cooperative infections in an empirical temporal network of contacts between people, including health care workers and patients, in a hospital. The system exhibits a phase transition leading to one or several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-08 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Víctor M. Eguíluz

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada