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Related papers: Nonparametric volatility change detection

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This paper discusses asymptotically distribution free tests for the classical goodness-of-fit hypothesis of an error distribution in nonparametric regression models. These tests are based on the same martingale transform of the residual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Estate V. Khmaladze , Hira L. Koul

Classical moment based change point tests like the cusum test are very powerful in case of Gaussian time series with one change point but behave poorly under heavy tailed distributions and corrupted data. A new class of robust change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

Strong mixing property holds for a broad class of linear and nonlinear time series models such as ARMA and GARCH models. In this article we study correlation structure of strong mixing sequences, and some asymptotic properties are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Fatemeh Azizzadeh , Saeid Rezakhah

We consider the problem of testing for treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies, and propose a nonparametric test based on multisample U-statistics. To account for potential confounders, we use reweighted data where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Maozhu Dai , Weining Shen , Hal S. Stern

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We propose to model multivariate volatility processes based on the newly defined conditionally uncorrelated components (CUCs). This model represents a parsimonious representation for matrix-valued processes. It is flexible in the sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Mingjin Wang , Qiwei Yao

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

In this paper we aim to assess linear relationships between the non constant variances of economic variables. The proposed methodology is based on a bootstrap cumulative sum (CUSUM) test. Simulations suggest a good behavior of the test for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Junichi Hirukawa , Hamdi Raïssi

In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer-Major theorems by B\'egyn (2007) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Markus Bibinger

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We propose a nonparametric algorithm to detect structural breaks in the conditional mean and/or variance of a time series. Our method does not assume any specific parametric form for the dependence structure of the regressor, the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Archi Roy , Moumanti Podder , Soudeep Deb

Many experiments record sequential trajectories where each trajectory consists of oscillations and fluctuations around zero. Such trajectories can be viewed as zero-mean functional data. When there are structural breaks (on the sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Shuhao Jiao , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

Nonparametric control charts that can detect arbitrary distributional changes are highly desirable due to their flexibility to adapt to different distributional assumptions and distributional changes. However, most of such control charts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Jun Li

This paper investigates change-point of variance in panel data models with time series of $\alpha$-mixing. Based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) method and the individual differences, we construct a CUSUM test for panel data models to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Wenzhi Yang , Yueting Xu , Xiaoping Shi , Qiong Li

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We consider nonparametric estimation of mean regression and conditional variance (or volatility) functions in nonlinear stochastic regression models. Simultaneous confidence bands are constructed and the coverage probabilities are shown to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Zhibiao Zhao , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, change-point problems for long memory stochastic volatility models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-21 Annika Betken , Rafał Kulik