English
Related papers

Related papers: Renewal Time Points for Hawkes Processes

200 papers

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

The superposition of temporal point processes has been studied for many years, although the usefulness of such models for practical applications has not be fully developed. We investigate superposed Hawkes process as an important class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Hongteng Xu , Dixin Luo , Xu Chen , Lawrence Carin

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

We adopt the interpretability offered by a parametric, Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function for the marks and apply variational inference techniques to derive a general and scalable inferential framework for marked…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Aristeidis Panos , Ioannis Kosmidis , Petros Dellaportas

Reinforcement Learning Algorithms are predominantly developed for stationary environments, and the limited literature that considers nonstationary environments often involves specific assumptions about changes that can occur in transition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Ranga Shaarad Ayyagari , Revanth Raj Eega , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Renewal processes are zero-dimensional processes defined by independent intervals of time between zero crossings of a random walker. We subject renewal processes them to stochastic resetting by setting the position of the random walker to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-02 Pascal Grange

A Hawkes process on $\R$ is a point process whose intensity function at time $t$ is a functional of its past activity before time $t$. It is defined by its activation function $\Phi$ and its memory function $h$. In this paper, the Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Philippe Robert , Gaëtan Vignoud

In recent years, mining the knowledge from asynchronous sequences by Hawkes process is a subject worthy of continued attention, and Hawkes processes based on the neural network have gradually become the most hotly researched fields,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Lu-ning Zhang , Jian-wei Liu , Zhi-yan Song , Xin Zuo

In this letter we examine a model recently proposed to produce phase synchronization [K. Wood et al, Phys. Rev. Lett. 96, 145701 (2006)] and we show that the onset to synchronization corresponds to the emergence of an intermittent process…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Simone Bianco , Elvis Geneston , Paolo Grigolini , Massimiliano Ignaccolo

The aim of this paper is to get asymptotic deviation bounds via a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for cumulative processes also known as compound renewal processes or renewal-reward processes. These processes cumulate independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

Reading is a process that unfolds across space and time, alternating between fixations where a reader focuses on a specific point in space, and saccades where a reader rapidly shifts their focus to a new point. An ansatz of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Francesco Ignazio Re , Andreas Opedal , Glib Manaiev , Mario Giulianelli , Ryan Cotterell

Classic results show that the Hawkes self-exciting point process can be viewed as a collection of temporal clusters, where exogenously generated initial events give rise to endogenously driven descendant events. This perspective provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Andrew Daw

This work contributes to the theory and applications of Hawkes processes. We introduce and examine a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass -- the generalized multivariate Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Nieweglowski

We introduce, and formally establish, a variant of the Hawkes-fed birth-death process -- the delayed Hawkes birth-death process -- in which the conditional intensity does not increase at arrivals but at departures from the system. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Justin Baars , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel Mandjes

This study explores contagion in the Chinese stock market using Hawkes processes to analyze autocorrelation and cross-correlation in multivariate time series data. We examine whether market indices exhibit trending behavior and whether…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Junwei Yang

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

In this paper we consider some non linear Hawkes processes with signed reproduction function (or memory kernel) thus exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. We provide a Law of Large Numbers, a Central Limit Theorem and large…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

We propose a new Kalikow decomposition for continuous time multivariate counting processes, on potentially infinite networks. We prove the existence of such a decomposition in various cases. This decomposition allows us to derive simulation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Tien Cuong Phi , Eva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

This document presents a compilation of results related to the theory of stochastic processes, with a specific focus on Markov processes, regenerative processes, renewal processes, and stationary processes. The relevance of these topics…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

This paper introduces the Neural Network for Nonlinear Hawkes processes (NNNH), a non-parametric method based on neural networks to fit nonlinear Hawkes processes. Our method is suitable for analyzing large datasets in which events exhibit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sobin Joseph , Shashi Jain
‹ Prev 1 4 5 6 7 8 10 Next ›