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We study the risk criterion for investments based on the drawdown from the maximal value of the capital in the past. Depending on investor's risk attitude, thus his risk exposure, we find that the distribution of these drawdowns follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

In this paper, we obtain analytical expression for the distribution of the occupation time in the red (below level $0$) up to an (independent) exponential horizon for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk processes and refracted spectrally…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-24 David Landriault , Bin Li , Mohamed Amine Lkabous

In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Tomasz Grzywny

In this paper, a deep reinforcement learning (DRL)-based approach to the Lyapunov optimization is considered to minimize the time-average penalty while maintaining queue stability. A proper construction of state and action spaces is…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Sohee Bae , Seungyul Han , Youngchul Sung

This paper develops numerical methods for finding optimal dividend pay-out and reinsurance policies. A generalized singular control formulation of surplus and discounted payoff function are introduced, where the surplus is modeled by a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-11 Zhuo Jin , George Yin , Chao Zhu

We find the asymptotics of the value function maximizing the expected utility of discounted dividend payments of an insurance company whose reserves are modeled as a classical Cram\'er risk process, with exponentially distributed claims,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Sebastian Baran , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process and independent Poisson observation times, we consider a periodic barrier strategy that pushes the process down to a certain level whenever it is above it. We also consider the versions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

The R\'{e}nyi cross-entropy measure between two distributions, a generalization of the Shannon cross-entropy, was recently used as a loss function for the improved design of deep learning generative adversarial networks. In this work, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Ferenc Cole Thierrin , Fady Alajaji , Tamás Linder

This paper investigates an insurance model with a finite number of major clients and a large number of small clients, where the dynamics of the latter group are modeled by a spectrally positive L\'evy process. We begin by analyzing this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Michel Mandjes , Daniël Rutgers

Stochastic games with discounted payoff, introduced by Shapley, model adversarial interactions in stochastic environments where two players try to optimize a discounted sum of rewards. In this model, long-term weights are geometrically…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Taylor Dohmen , Ashutosh Trivedi

The purpose of this note is to describe, in terms of a power series, the distribution function of the exponential functional, taken at some independent exponential time, of a spectrally negative L\'evy process \xi with unbounded variation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-22 Pierre Patie

We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Miljenko Huzak , Mihael Perman , Hrvoje Sikic , Zoran Vondracek

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

In the paper [Hainaut, D. and Colwell, D.B., {\rm A structural model for credit risk with switching processes and synchronous jumps}, The European Journal of Finance 22(11) (2016): 1040-1062], the authors exploit a synchronous-jump…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Davood Damircheli , Mohsen Razzaghi , Seyed-Mohammad-Mahdi Kazemi , Ali Foroush Bastani

Penalization of the likelihood by Jeffreys' invariant prior, or by a positive power thereof, is shown to produce finite-valued maximum penalized likelihood estimates in a broad class of binomial generalized linear models. The class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Ioannis Kosmidis , David Firth

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

In this paper we study the valuation problem of an insurance company by maximizing the expected discounted future dividend payments in a model with partial information that allows for a changing economic environment. The surplus process is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-03 Michaela Szölgyenyi

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen , Ying Shen
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