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For a given L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}_+}$ and for fixed $s\in \mathbb{R}_{+}\cup\{\infty\}$ and $t\in\mathbb{R}_+$ we analyse the {\it future drawdown extremes} that are defined as follows: \begin{eqnarray*} \overline…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 E. J. Baurdoux , Z. Palmowski , M. R. Pistorius

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen

This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by L\'evy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Tim Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper we consider a modified version of the classical optimal dividends problem of de Finetti in which the dividend payments subject to a penalty at ruin. We assume that the risk process is modeled by a general spectrally positive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-26 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen

The paper deals with a generalization of the risk model with stochastic premiums where dependence structures between claim sizes and inter-claim times as well as premium sizes and inter-premium times are modeled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Olena Ragulina

Drawdown (resp. drawup) of a stochastic process, also referred as the reflected process at its supremum (resp. infimum), has wide applications in many areas including financial risk management, actuarial mathematics and statistics. In this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-27 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

Path decomposition is performed to characterize the law of the pre/post-supremum, post-infimum and the intermediate processes of a spectrally negative Levy process taken up to an independent exponential time T: As a result, mainly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 C. Vardar-Acar , M. Caglar , F. Avram

We use Levy processes to generate joint prior distributions, and therefore penalty functions, for a location parameter as p grows large. This generalizes the class of local-global shrinkage rules based on scale mixtures of normals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-26 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

The expected present value of dividends is one of the classical stability criteria in actuarial risk theory. In this context, numerous papers considered threshold (refractive) and barrier (reflective) dividend strategies. These were shown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Benjamin Avanzi , José-Luis Pérez , Bernard Wong , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

This paper concerns an optimal dividend distribution problem for an insurance company with surplus-dependent premium. In the absence of dividend payments, such a risk process is a particular case of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-26 Ewa Marciniak , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

In this paper, we study the cut-off phenomenon under the total variation distance of $d$-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which are driven by L\'evy processes. That is to say, under the total variation distance, there is an abrupt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Juan Carlos Pardo

In this note we find a formula for the supremum distribution of spectrally positive or negative L\'evy processes with a broken linear drift. This gives formulas for ruin probabilities in the case when two insurance companies (or two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zbigniew Michna

It is well-known that for a group of time-consistent decision makers their collective time preferences may become time-inconsistent. Jackson and Yariv (2014) demonstrated that the result of aggregation of exponential discount functions…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-08 Nina Anchugina , Matthew Ryan , Arkadii Slinko

Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time, are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focus on the side…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Richard J. Martin , Michael J. Kearney

We develop a general model for finding the optimal penal strategy based on the behavioral traits of the offenders. We focus on how the discount rate (level of time discounting) affects criminal propensity on the individual level, and how…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-02 Yuqing Wang , Yan Ru Pei

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

In this paper we consider a reduced-form intensity-based credit risk model with a hidden Markov state process. A filtering method is proposed for extracting the underlying state given the observation processes. The method may be applied to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-10 Feng-Hui Yu , Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski